Texans vs. Jaguars Week 9 Prediction
AFC South rivals meet in Jacksonville on Sunday where the Jaguars will host the Texans at 1:00 p.m. ET. With Houston laying 6.5 points as road chalk and the total down to 49.5 after opening at 51, what’s the best play for bettors when it comes to this matchup?
463 Houston Texans (-6.5) at 464 Jacksonville Jaguars (+6.5); o/u 49.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 8, 2020
Venue: TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL
Houston Texans DFS Spin
Deshaun Watson completed 29-of-39 passes for 309 yards and two scores in Houston's Week 7 blowout loss to the Packers. Houston went three-and-out with its first offensive possession — an ominous sign of what the team had in store the rest of the afternoon. With David Johnson as the centerpiece, the Texans' lifeless offense sleepwalked to a 21-0 deficit in the first half and eventually fell behind 35-13 before marching down the field for an empty touchdown to bring the game within two scores during the final minute. The team will now have a full 14 days to forget about this one altogether before returning to the field in Week 8 against Jacksonville. Watson will remain a low-end QB1 in that one.
Jacksonville Jaguars DFS Spin
The Jaguars are expected to “throw downfield more” with Jake Luton. Jaguars.com's John Oehser notes Luton “has a better arm” than Gardner Minshew and “looked good enough in training camp to make you believe there's a chance he could play well.” Luton’s 85th percentile throw velocity was behind only Jacob Eason and Steven Montez in this year’s class, and he rarely turns it over, posting a career 42:11 TD/INT ratio in 20 Pac-12 starts. The Jaguars still seem likely to go run heavy in his debut, but there’s some big play upside to Luton as a DFS punt against a Texans secondary that’s allowed the fourth most passing touchdowns.
Texans vs. Jaguars Betting Prediction
The Texans have covered the spread in four of their last five games versus the Jaguars and are 5-1 against the number in their last six trips to Jacksonville. Houston has also covered in eight of its last 10 games coming off a double-digit loss at home and is 5-2-2 against the number in its last nine games as a road favorite. The Jaguars, meanwhile, are 0-5 against the spread in their last five games coming off a loss, are 0-4 against the number in their last four games as an underdog and are 0-4 ATS in their last four games versus conference opponents.
NFL WEEK 9 BETTING PREDICTION: HOUSTON TEXANS -6.5