Chiefs vs. Bills Spread Prediction
The first of two Monday night NFL games will take place in Buffalo where Josh Allen and the Bills will host the Chiefs at 5:00 p.m. ET. Kansas City is favored but is coming off its first loss of the season – will the Chiefs cover?
277 Kansas City Chiefs (-5.5) at 278 Buffalo Bills (+5.5); o/u 56
5:00 p.m. ET, Monday, October 19, 2020
Venue: Bills Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
Kansas City Chiefs DFS Spin
Sammy Watkins (hamstring) is out for Week 6 against the Bills. Watkins is week to week but is expected to dodge the injured reserve, which would've guaranteed Watkins would miss at least three games. Watkins is unlikely to be ready for Week 7, however. The Chiefs will get Mecole Hardman onto the field more in his absence, and Tyreek Hill is due more targets as well. Watkins led the team in targets in 3-of-5 games before his injury. He's a bench hold in 12-team leagues if possible. Hardman now deserves WR3/flex consideration even if his floor remains low.
Buffalo Bills DFS Spin
Bills CB Tre'Davious White (back) and LB Matt Milano (pec) are questionable for Week 6 against the Chiefs. They are both key pieces of the struggling Bills defense. White would be tasked with defending Tyreek Hill at times if active, and Milano would cover Travis Kelce at times. Without them, the Chiefs offense could really get cooking. White was a full participant in the last two practices and likely will play through his ailment. Milano was limited, full, and then limited in his three practices and should be viewed as a game-time decision.
Chiefs vs. Bills Betting Prediction
The Chiefs are a perfect 9-0 against the spread in their last nine games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game and covered the last six times after allowing more than 30 points in their previous contest. They’re also 8-1 against the number in their last nine games when facing a team with a winning record, cashed five of the last six times coming off a loss and are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall. On the other side, the Bills are now 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games played in October, are 3-7 against the number in their last 10 games as a home dog and are 14-29-2 ATS in their last 45 games when facing a team with a winning road record.
NFL WEEK 6 BETTING PREDICTION: KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -5.5