Colts vs. Browns Week 5 Prediction
A pair of 3-1 teams square off in Cleveland on Sunday when the Browns host the Colts at 4:25 p.m. ET. Are the Browns a good play for bettors as a small home dog or will the Colts improve to 4-1?
473 Indianapolis Colts (-1.5) at 474 Cleveland Browns (+1.5); o/u 47
4:25 p.m. ET, Sunday, October 11, 2020
FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
Indianapolis Colts DFS Spin
Philip Rivers completed 16-of-29 passes for 190 yards and one touchdown in the Colts' 19-11, Week 4 win over the Bears. Rivers came into this one completing a league-high 78.3% of his passes, but this was more of a struggle for the veteran against a strong pass defense. Still, Rivers did enough with the offense to set Rodrigo Blankenship up for four field goals. Rivers' touchdown was a red-zone hookup with Mo Alie-Cox. It was more than plenty against a Bears team that was stuck on three points before their final drive. Rivers hasn't been good for fantasy on very low volume, but the Colts are 3-1. The get a road date with the Browns in Week 5.
Cleveland Browns DFS Spin
Baker Mayfield completed 19-of-30 passes for 165 yards and two touchdowns in Cleveland's Week 4 win over the Cowboys. It was the ideal game script for Cleveland, which bulldozed Dallas' front-seven for 307 yards and 7.6 yards per carry all the while limiting Mayfield's attempts to play-action and shallow crossing routes throughout regulation. Even in losing Nick Chubb (knee) for the last three quarters, three separate players (Kareem Hunt, D'Ernest Johnson, Odell Beckham) eclipsed 70 yards on the ground for the Browns. Mayfield has now averaged 25.3 attempts over his last three starts, making Kevin Stefanski's ideal offense (and Mayfield's shaky floor) abundantly clear. Expect Cleveland to continue leaning on Hunt against Indianapolis, making Mayfield a droppable option for his lack of volume ahead of Week 5.
Colts vs. Browns Betting Prediction
The Colts are 12-3 against the spread in their last 15 games versus a team with a winning record, are 5-2 against the number in their last seven games as a favorite and have covered in six of their last eight road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Browns, meanwhile, are 0-4 against the spread in their last four conference games, are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 home games versus a team with a winning road record and are 1-4 ATS in their last five games played in the month of October.
2020 NFL WEEK 5 BETTING PREDICTION: INDIANAPOLIS COLTS -1.5