Jaguars vs. Bengals Week 4 Prediction
Joe Burrow and the Bengals are in search of their first win and find themselves listed as a rare favorite when they host the Jaguars at 1:00 p.m. ET. Will Cincinnati pull out a win both straight up and at the betting window?
257 Jacksonville Jaguars (+2.5) at 258 Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5); o/u 49
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, October 4, 2020
NFL Week 4, Regular Season
Jacksonville Jaguars DFS Spin
Gardner Minshew completed 30-of-42 passes for 275 yards, zero touchdowns and an interception in the Jaguars' 31-13, Week 3 loss to the Dolphins. He also lost a fumble. Missing D.J. Chark, Minshew crashed back to earth after entering Week 3 as one of only two quarterbacks with three-score performances in each of the first two games of the season. Minshew wasn't good — he was overly focused on the middle of the field and was lucky to escape with only two turnovers — but he was let down by his pass catchers, especially Chris Conley, who was almost unspeakably bad. Minshew also lost LT Cam Robinson to a ticky tack ejection in the third quarter. The main takeaway tonight is that the Jags badly need Chark back, and they need to find a way to funnel him more than 3-4 targets. Save for perhaps Laviska Shenault, the rest of this receiver corps is not going to elevate its quarterback. As tempting as it will be for streamers to move on, Minshew has a golden Week 4 matchup in the Bengals.
Cincinnati Bengals DFS Spin
Joe Burrow completed 31-of-44 passes for 312 yards and two touchdowns in the Bengals' Week 3 tie with the Eagles. Burrow was under pressure often and notably took a hard hit that sidelined him for a snap in the first quarter. He bounced back from the shot and finished the day with yards and two scores. Burrow also made a highlight-reel play by evading a defender on a scramble and hitting Tee Higgins down the sideline. The play was nixed by a penalty but was an impressive show of Burrow's athleticism. Burrow is averaging over 47 pass attempts per game through three weeks and has some sneaky rushing potential. He's in a great spot next week versus a Jaguars defense that got shredded by Ryan Fitzpatrick on Thursday Night Football this week.
Jaguars vs. Bengals Betting Prediction
The Jaguars are 3-1-1 against the spread in their last five trips to Cincinnati while the road team has covered in this series at a 3-1-1 ATS mark over the last five meetings. The Jags are also 4-1 against the spread in their last five games as an underdog and are 4-1 at the betting window in their last five games versus conference opponents. Meanwhile, the Bengals are just 3-12 against the spread in their last 15 home games, are 3-7 against the number in their last 10 games overall and are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven games played in the month of October.
NFL WEEK 4 BETTING PREDICTION: JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS +2.5