Titans vs. Texans Prediction

NFL Week 4 Predictions: Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans 10/2/16

Are the Texans a safe play for bettors when they host the Titans today at 1:00PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Texans are 4.5-point home favorites versus the Titans after opening as a 6.5-point favorite. The reason for the line move was J.J. Watt's season-ending back injury. That shows you how much Watt means to the Texans when a two-point drop occurs for a non-quarterback injury. That's massive.

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The Titans are 1-4 against the spread in their last five road games and are a brutal 3-21-3 against the number in their last 27 games versus AFC South opponents. They're also winless at 0-4 versus the spread in their last four games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game and are 12-35-5 ATS in their last 52 games versus the AFC.

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The Texans, meanwhile, are a perfect 5-0 against the spread in their last five games versus AFC South opponents and are 6-2 against the number in their last eight home games. They're 20-8 at the betting window in their last 28 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game as well.

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OUR PREDICTION: The Titans have been a horrible play in this series before, going just 1-4-1 against the spread in their last six games in Houston and 0-5 against the number in their last five games overall versus the Texans. Even without Watt, Houston has more than enough on defense to slow Marcus Mariota and Co. The key is Brock Osweiler halting the turnovers that have plagued the Texans' offense to date.

NFL WEEK 4 PREDICTION: HOUSTON TEXANS -4.5

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