Jaguars vs. Bengals Week 4 Prediction
Trevor Lawrence will get another crack at Joe Burrow on Thursday night, only this time at the pro level when Lawrence’s Jaguars take on Burrow’s Bengals at 8:20 p.m. ET. Is 7.5 points too much to lay with Cincinnati?
101 Jacksonville Jaguars (+7.5) at 102 Cincinnati Bengals (-7.5); o/u 46
8:20 p.m. ET, Thursday, September 30, 2021
NFL Week 4 Regular Season
Jacksonville Jaguars DFS Spin
Trevor Lawrence completed 22-of-34 passes for 219 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions in the Jaguars' 31-19, Week 3 loss to the Cardinals. He absorbed three sacks and rushed six times for 27 yards. The Jaguars took a 13-7 lead into halftime after Lawrence hit D.J. Chark for a pretty 12-yard touchdown in the second quarter, but the offense didn't do much outside of James Robinson after the break. Lawrence has now thrown seven interception to five touchdowns through three games. One of his picks was returned for a touchdown. It's been a rough first month for Lawrence, but he does get easier Weeks 4 and 5 dates with the Bengals and Titans where Lawrence will be an option for two-QB fantasy leagues.
Cincinnati Bengals DFS Spin
Joe Burrow completed 14-of-18 passes for 172 yards, three touchdowns, and an interception in the Bengals' 24-10, Week 3 win over the Steelers. The interception was Burrow's fourth of the season but he managed to stay away from pressure, taking zero sacks for just the third time in his career. Sans T.J. Watt, the Pittsburgh front was unable to harass Burrow, who opened the year with 10 sacks in his first two games. The concern for Burrow remains Cincinnati's run-first approach. Burrow has five fewer pass attempts than his team has rush attempts. He hasn't thrown more than 30 times in a game yet. If this continues, Burrow will struggle to be a difference-maker for fantasy purposes. An easy opponent in Jacksonville next week should keep him in the QB1 conversation, even on low volume.
Jaguars vs. Bengals Betting Prediction
The Jaguars are just 1-4 against the spread in their last five conference games, are 1-4 against the number in their last four games when facing an opponent with a winning record and are 1-6 at the betting window in their last seven games overall. The Bengals, meanwhile, are 6-2 at the betting window in their last eight home games, are 37-18-2 ATS in their last 57 games played in September and have covered in four of their last five appearances on Thursday.
NFL WEEK 4 BETTING PREDICTION: CINCINNATI BENGALS -7.5