Bills vs. Packers Total Prediction
Will the Green Bay Packers get back on track when they return home to host the upset-minded Buffalo Bills today at 1PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Sunday, September 30, 2018
1PM ET – Lambeau Field
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, the Packers are favored at home, as they are getting odds of -9.5 points against the Bills. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 44 points. The public betting for this game currently has 52 percent going on Buffalo on the road. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NFL Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Packers struggle on the road
The Packers are coming off a 31-17 loss at Washington last week to drop to 1-1-1 on the season. They are just 1-2 against the spread while hitting the over in all three games. Green Bay has actually hit the over in seven of its last eight, including the preseason and last year’s finale.
Offensively, Green Bay is putting up 23.3 points and 384.7 yards per contest this year. Aaron Rodgers is still dealing with a lingering knee injury but has thrown for 832 yards with six touchdowns and no interceptions. However, he has been sacked 10 times. The Green Bay run game is still struggling, with Jamaal Williams the leading rusher with 135 yards. The Packers are giving up 27.7 points and 396.3 yards per game thus far on defense.
Bills turning the corner?
The Buffalo Bills looked as bad as anyone in the first two games of the season, but shocked the NFL world by beating the Vikings in Minnesota last week, 27-6. Buffalo was a 16.5-point underdog going into the game. The Bills are now 1-2 overall, 1-2 against the spread and 2-1 with the over. They have hit the over in three of their last four.
Despite last week’s outburst, the Bills are still just averaging 16.7 points and 278 yards per game this season. The offense was aided by a lot of turnovers created by the defense. Josh Allen has thrown for 515 yards and two touchdowns with two interceptions. He is also the leading rusher with just 97 yards on 22 carries. The team is hopeful to get LeSean McCoy back this week. He sat out the last game with a rib injury. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 28 points and 350.7 yards per game. Their run defense has been strong, allowing only 80 yards per game.
NFL Betting Trends
The Packers have hit the over in nine of their last 10 against a team with a losing record and in 21 of their last 26 overall.
Buffalo has hit the under in five of its last six on grass, but has hit the over in five of its last seven following a win.
I think the Bills were able to put up a lot of points last week due to a short field. I don’t anticipate Aaron Rodgers handing them the ball often in this game. Still, Buffalo can apply a lot of pressure to Rodgers, who doesn’t have great pass protection in front of him. I think the Buffalo defense will be up to the challenge to make this competitive, but for that to happen the scoring needs to be low. Buffalo still isn’t a team I would trust to drive down the field consistently.
NFL Prediction: Bills/Packers Under 44