Bills vs. Packers Prediction
Can the Green Bay Packers bounce back from last week’s loss when it hosts the upset-minded Buffalo Bills Sunday at 1PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Sunday, September 30, 2018
1PM ET – Lambeau Field
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, the Packers are favored at home, as they are getting odds of -10 points against the Bills. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 45 points. The public betting for this game currently has 51 percent going on Buffalo on the road. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NFL Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Bills stun the Vikings
The Buffalo Bills looked as bad as anyone in the first two games of the season, but shocked the NFL world by beating the Vikings in Minnesota last week, 27-6. Buffalo was a 16.5-point underdog going into the game. The Bills are now 1-2 overall, 1-2 against the spread and 2-1 with the over.
Despite last week’s outburst, the Bills are still just averaging 16.7 points and 278 yards per game this season. The offense was aided by a lot of turnovers created by the defense. Josh Allen has thrown for 515 yards and two touchdowns with two interceptions. He is also the leading rusher with just 97 yards on 22 carries. The team is hopeful to get LeSean McCoy back this week. He sat out the last game with a rib injury. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 28 points and 350.7 yards per game. Their run defense has been strong, allowing only 80 yards per game.
Packers fall in D.C.
The Packers are coming off a 31-17 loss at Washington last week to drop to 1-1-1 on the season. They are just 1-2 against the spread while hitting the over in all three games. Green Bay is just 1-4 ATS in their last five, including preseason games.
The Packers are giving up 27.7 points and 396.3 yards per game thus far on defense. Some roughing the passer penalties have definitely impacted those numbers for Green Bay. Offensively, Green Bay is putting up 23.3 points and 384.7 yards per contest. Aaron Rodgers is still dealing with a lingering knee injury but has thrown for 832 yards with six touchdowns and no interceptions. However, he has been sacked 10 times. The Green Bay run game is still struggling, with Jamaal Williams the leading rusher with 135 yards.
NFL Betting Trends
The Bills are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games on grass and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games in September.
The Packers are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a loss.
I will take the points in this one. The Bills were able to take advantage of a struggling Minnesota offensive line and it led to turnovers and a short field. Rodgers has already been sacked 10 times and Green Bay doesn’t have much of a run game. I think that will create some issues for the Green Bay offense. Even in their lone win, the Packers were trailing late. I don’t see them pulling away from this Buffalo team that should have a renewed confidence.
NFL Prediction: Buffalo Bills +10