Falcons vs. Colts Week 3 Prediction
A pair of 1-1 teams will square off in Indianapolis on Sunday when the Colts host the Falcons at 1:00 p.m. ET. Listed as a small underdog, are the Falcons worth a play for bettors or will the Colts be the team that improves to 2-1 in this matchup?
469 Atlanta Falcons (+1.5) at 470 Indianapolis Colts (-1.5); O/U 47
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, September 22, 2019
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Falcons are receiving 57% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Spin
Calvin Ridley caught 8-of-10 targets for 105 yards and a touchdown in Week 2 against the Eagles. Ridley burned Ronald Darby deep on his 34-yard touchdown. He was the Falcons leading receiver for most of the night before Julio Jones's game-winning 54-yard score. Ridley has lived up to his second-year hype, going over 60 yards with touchdowns in the first two weeks. He gets a matchup with the Colts in Week 3.
Indianapolis Colts Fantasy Spin
T.Y. Hilton (quad) is questionable for the Colts' Week 3 matchup against the Falcons. We tentatively expect Hilton to suit up Sunday considering the Colts have shown little concern over his status this week. He was a limited participant in practice all week. Hilton has posted 8-87-2 and 4-43-1 lines to start the season and carries a solid weekly floor as the Colts' undisputed No. 1 pass-game option. He remains locked in as a WR2, but the offense's run-first philosophy undoubtedly lowers his weekly ceiling.
NFL Betting Trends
The Falcons are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games overall and are 1-5 against the number in their last six road games.
The Colts are 3-1-1 against the number in their last five games overall and are 5-1 ATS in their last six games played in Week 3.
The Colts watched Andrew Luck retire in the offseason, traveled to Carson in Week 1, nearly upset the Chargers as a sizable road dog and then last Sunday narrowly beat a Titans team coming off an impressive win over the Browns the previous week. Meanwhile, the Falcons didn’t show up for their Week 1 matchup with the Vikings and tried like hell to give away a win last Sunday night versus the Eagles. Atlanta is a paper tiger, while Indy has shown some real grit in the early going. I don’t care about the talent the Falcons have on offense: I’ll take the Colts and fade the public.
NFL Week 3 Prediction: Indianapolis Colts -1.5