SB LVII Touchdown Prop Predictions
When it comes to the countless touchdown props listed for Super Bowl 57 between the Chiefs and Eagles, which odds give bettors the best value? Kickoff from Glendale, AZ is set for 6:30 p.m. ET tonight.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
101 Kansas City Chiefs (+1.5) vs. 102 Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5); o/u 50.5
6:30 p.m. ET, Sunday, February 12, 2023
State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
Chiefs vs. Eagles Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 66% of public bettors are currently backing the Eagles when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Super Bowl 57 Touchdown Prop Predictions
Best Anytime Touchdown Prediction: Jalen Hurts -105
Hurts scored at least one rushing touchdowns in 11 of his 17 games this season, including one apiece versus the Niners (NFC Championship) and Giants (Divisional round), respectively. In fact, over his last five games, Hurts scored at least one rushing touchdown in all but one of those games (Week 18 vs. the Giants) and even tallied three rushing scores versus the Bears in Week 17.
Position to Score First Touchdown: Tight End (+310)
I love this prop. Out of any player listed for an Anytime Touchdown, Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce has the best odds at -115. We know how much Patrick Mahomes loves to target Kelce in the red zone and Kansas City head coach Andy Reid is always coming up with creative ways to get the ball to his tight end at the goal line. Not only did we get Kelce for this prop, but we get Dallas Goedert, who scored a touchdown against the Giants in the Divisional round and who figures to see one-on-one coverage with KC worrying about A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith on the outside.
Any Player to Score 2+ Touchdowns: No (+135)
I’m surprised we’re getting such good odds when it comes to this prop. Yes, Kelce scored two touchdowns against the Jaguars in the Divisional round, but it was only the third time he accomplished the feat in a game this season. The other player we would have to worry about ruining this prop is Hurts, who rushed for multiple touchdowns in three of his 17 games this season including playoffs. However, two of those games came in the first five weeks of the season. If you’re worried about A.J. Brown scoring multiple TDs, understand he’s done so in only two games this season. What about DeVonta Smith? He scored multiple touchdowns in a game only once, which came in a 40-34 shootout against the Cowboys on December 24 and Hurts didn’t even play in the game. And while Miles Sanders reached the end zone twice two weeks ago in the Eagles’ win over the 49ers, he also went completely scoreless in his five games prior to going off versus San Francisco. It’s a great play.
Total Individual Philadelphia Eagles Touchdown Scorers: Over 2.5 (-140)
We’re not getting as good of odds on this TD prop as the others I have listed, but this is still a solid play nonetheless. If we believe no player will score multiple touchdowns, then it stands to reason that the scores will be spread out. I think it’s more likely that the Eagles will spread the ball around more than the Chiefs, especially when you factor in Kelce’s involvement in Kansas City’s offense. From Hurts to Brown to Smith to Sanders and Goedert, there are a lot of mouths to feed in this Philly offense. They also like to mix in Boston Scott at the goal line and Kenneth Gainwell is starting to see an uptick in opportunities, too. Assuming the Eagles reach the end zone at least three times tonight, I see the scoring chances spread out.