Bills vs. Chiefs Spread Prediction
The Kansas City Chiefs are only laying a field goal to the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship Game, but Patrick Mahomes is banged up. Will the Chiefs cover and advance to the Super Bowl to defend their title?
313 Buffalo Bills (+3) at 314 Kansas City Chiefs (-3); o/u 54.5
6:40 p.m. ET, Sunday, January 24, 2021
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Buffalo Bills DFS Spin
Stefon Diggs caught 8-of-11 targets for 106 yards and one touchdown in the Bills' Divisional Round win over the Ravens. As always, Diggs was phenomenal in the intermediate part of the field. He had multiple grabs on comeback routes and scramble drills, plus had a walk-in touchdown off a screen in the red zone. Diggs now has at least 100 yards in five of his last six games. Another 100-yard outing versus the Chiefs or Browns is certainly in reach with the Bills completely abandoning the run game. He's in the mix for being a top-five NFL receiver.
Kansas City Chiefs DFS Spin
Travis Kelce caught 8-of-11 targets for 109 yards and a touchdown in the Chiefs' Divisional Round win over the Browns. Even with Patrick Mahomes missing the final 20 minutes with a concussion, Kelce did his thing, catching a critical 24-yard pass from No. 2 Chad Henne. Mahomes is tentatively expected to be cleared for the AFC Championship Game, but even if he can't go, Henne will undoubtedly lock onto his mammoth middle-of-the-field target.
Bills vs. Chiefs Betting Prediction
The road team is 8-2 against the spread in the last 10 meetings between these two teams while the Bills have covered in five of their last six games at Arrowhead. The Bills are also 9-1 against the spread in their last 10 games overall, is 4-0 against the number in their last four road games and is 8-1 at the betting window in their last nine games coming off a win. The Chiefs, meanwhile, are 1-8 against the spread in their last nine games overall, are 1-7 against the number in their last eight games as a favorite and are winless ATS in their last four games as a home favorite.
AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME SPREAD PREDICTION: BUFFALO BILLS +3