Pats favored over Broncos in AFC Title Game

Patriots open as 4-point favorites vs. Broncos in AFC Championship Game

For perhaps the final time, Tom Brady will face off against Peyton Manning in the AFC Championship Game when the Broncos host the Patriots next Sunday.

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According to oddsmakers from online sports book, the Patriots are currently 4-point road favorites versus the Broncos on Championship Sunday. The over/under for the title matchup is currently sitting at 44.5 points.

On Saturday the Patriots defeated the Chiefs 27-20 as a 6-point home favorite in the Divisional round, while the Broncos knocked off the Steelers 23-16 on Sunday afternoon and pushed as a 7-point favorite. Had Pittsburgh not kicked a last-minute field goal with time expiring, Denver would have covered the number.

These two teams met back in late November with the Broncos coming from behind to beat the Patriots 30-24 to cover as a 2.5-point underdog. Brock Osweiler started that game for Denver, which erased a 21-7 fourth-quarter deficit to force overtime with the scored knotted up at 24-24. A 48-yard touchdown run by C.J. Anderson gave the Broncos a victory in OT.

In eight road games this season, the Patriots finished 3-5 against the spread but still won by an average margin of victory of 4.9 points in those eight contests. They were also 2-5 against the number as a road favorite, winning by an average margin of 4.4 points.

At home, the Broncos are 3-5-1 against the spread while winning by an average margin of 3.6 points. But they're 2-0 as a home underdog, winning by an average margin of 12.5 points. Denver was also 4-0 at the betting window as an underdog this season.

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