Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky Total Prediction
SEC rivals will square off in Lexington on Saturday night when the Kentucky Wildcats host the Vanderbilt Commodores at 7:30 p.m. ET. Will the game turn into a defensive struggle?
7:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, October 20, 2018
Kroger Field, Lexington, Kentucky
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Wildcats are 11.5-point favorites to beat the Commodores. The total, meanwhile, sits at 48.5 points. As of this writing, 61% of the public betting tickets wagered on this matchup are on the Wildcats.
Vanderbilt senior QB Kyle Shurmur completed just 18-of-36 passes for 229 yards, two touchdowns and one interception in a 37-27 loss on Saturday to Florida. Shurmur posted his second consecutive game with a 50 percent completion rate and wasn’t at his best. Albeit against two fairly tough defenses in Georgia and Florida, Shurmur wasn’t very accurate in either outing. His touchdown throws were from one, and 17 yards out. His schedule lightens up slightly from here on out, but there aren’t any cupcake games in the SEC unless you are Alabama. Shurmur will look to rebound next week on the road against No. 18 Kentucky.
Kentucky junior RB Benny Snell rushed for 60 yards on 13 carries in Saturday’s 20-16 overtime loss to Texas A&M. On a 3rd and two in overtime, Kentucky opted to not give the ball to Heisman hopeful Benny Snell (5’11/223) which resulted in a sack, a missed field goal attempt, and ultimately a loss. Snell has been a workhorse all year long, but he was given a season-low 13 carries that led to a season-low 60 rushing yards tonight. Of course, Snell was effective on his carries (4.6 YPC) as he’s been all year long. Kentucky is still a quality team, but it was disappointing that they lost a game they could have won. Snell and the Wildcats get Vanderbilt on October 20th after this week’s bye.
The over is 10-3 in the Commodores’ last 13 conference games.
The under is 5-1 in the Wildcats’ last six games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
The under has cashed in five of the last six meetings between these two teams. The under is also 14-6-1 in the Commodores’ last 21 road games, is 5-2 in their last seven games overall, and is 24-6-1 in their last 31 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. On the other side, the under cashed in four of the Wildcats’ last five games overall, is 4-0 in their last four conference games and is 4-0 in their last four games coming off an ATS loss.
College Football Prediction: Vanderbilt/Kentucky under 48.5