Texas vs. Kansas State Prediction
Now listed as a road favorite, is Texas a good bet to beat Kansas State today at 12:00PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Longhorns are now a 1.5-point road favorite against the Wildcats after opening as a 3.5-point underdog. The total has also changed significantly in this game, dropping from 58.5 down to 53.5, which is where the number currently sits.
The Longhorns are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games overall but have failed to cover the number in six of their last eight games away from Texas. They’re also just 6-21 against the spread in their last 27 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game and are 1-6 at the betting window in their last seven games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
The Wildcats, meanwhile, are just 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games overall but are 42-19-1 ATS in their last 62 conference games. They’re winless, however, at 0-8 against the number in their last eight games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game and are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games coming off a loss.
OUR PREDICTION: Bill Snyder said earlier this week that he anticipated Jesse Ertz starting today after the quarterback was injured last Saturday in Norman. The line movement would suggest otherwise, but even if Ertz doesn’t play the Wildcats should still find a way to win. The Longhorns rank 101st in total yards allowed this season, surrendering 444.3 YPG and are 107th in the nation in points allowed (34.0 per game). The Longhorn offense is a threat, but K-State should be able to move the ball early and often on the UT defense.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 8 PICK: KANSAS STATE WILDCATS +1.5