Raycom Media Camellia Bowl Total Pick
Is the betting total for Saturday night's Raycom Media Camellia Bowl between Middle Tennessee State and Arkansas State set too high?
Matchup: Middle Tennessee (6-6) at Arkansas State (7-4)
TV: ESPN, 8:00 p.m. ET
Line: Arkansas State -3.5
Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the over/under currently sits at 63.5 points after hitting the board at 59. Arkansas State, meanwhile, opened as a 3.5-point favorite and that's where the line currently sits.
Who is the Public Backing?
As of this writing, the Red Wolves are receiving 69% of the betting tickets and 73% of the money at the window.
Richie James (Shoulder) remains out for the year, as does quarterback John Urzua (concussion) for Middle Tennessee. Arkansas State, meanwhile, will be without defensive back Trent Ellis-Brewer (knee), who is out for the season.
OUR PREDICTION: The under is 4-0 in the Blue Raiders' last four non-conference games, is 4-0-1 in their last five games versus a team with a winning record, and is 7-1 in their last eight games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. In Middle Tennessee's last 12 games overall, the under is also 9-2-1.
On the other side, the under is 16-5-1 in the Red Wolves' last 22 games overall, is 31-12-1 in their last 44 non-conference games, and has cashed in six of their last eight games coming off an ATS loss. The under is also 12-2 in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game, is 6-1 in their last seven games coming off a loss, and is 14-3-1 in their last 18 games when playing on fieldturf.
RAYCOM MEDIA CAMELLIA BOWL: MIDDLE TENNESSEE/ARKANSAS STATE UNDER 63.5