Louisville vs. Kentucky Spread Pick
Finally, at the end of a horrendous season, the Louisville Cardinals will attempt to pull off one big upset this year when they host the Kentucky Wildcats at 7:00 p.m. ET. Will the Cardinals show up or will the Wildcats roll to an easy win and cover as a large road favorite?
149 Kentucky Wildcats at 150 Louisville Cardinals
7:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, November 24, 2018
Cardinal Stadium, Louisville, Kentucky
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Wildcats are 16.5-point favorites to beat the Cardinals. The total, meanwhile, sits at 52.5 points. As of this writing, 73% of the public betting tickets wagered on this matchup are on the Wildcats.
Kentucky redshirt sophomore QB Terry Wilson completed 10-of-14 passes for 121 yards with a touchdown in a 34-23 victory over Middle Tennessee on Saturday. Wilson also added 27 yards on the ground. Once again, the 6-foot-3, 205-pound quarterback wasn't asked to do much, and once again, he didn't. He was able to find C.J. Conrad for a score, but the Wildcats relied on the ground game -- as they have all year -- and it was good enough against the MTSU defense. Wilson will look to give Kentucky a nine-win regular season if they can beat Louisville next Saturday.
Louisville redshirt sophomore QB Jawon Pass completed 5-of-11 passes for 67 yards and an interception in Saturday's 52-10 loss to NC State. Pass (6'4/231) was suspended for the first quarter, but he actually didn't enter until the second half with Louisville already down 24-3. The redshirt sophomore has had little success all year, and today was no different. Despite playing in garbage time, Pass only averaged 6.1 yards per pass attempt and his lone interception got him benched in the 4th. It's unclear if the starting job will be Malik Cunningham's or Jawon Pass' when Lousiville next takes the field against Kentucky's solid defense.
The Wildcats are 1-5 against the spread in their last six games overall.
The Cardinals have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six home games.
This number feels inflated but I’m more inclined to lay the points with a Kentucky team that has been competitive all season up until a few weeks ago. Louisville has been a disaster from the start and has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five home games against UK. The Cardinals are also just 1-10-1 at the betting window in their last 12 non-conference games, are winless in their last six games against the spread coming off a loss, and are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a double-digit loss at home. I don’t like laying this big of a number in a rivalry game – especially when it comes to taking the road team – but I want nothing to do with Louisville this season.
College Football Prediction: Kentucky Wildcats -16.5