SMU vs. Navy Prediction
Can No. 25 SMU go on the road and pull off a small betting upset when the Mustangs take on Navy today at 3:30PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
181 SMU vs. 182 Navy
Saturday, November 23, 2019
3:30PM ET – Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Navy is the slight favorite at home, as the Midshipmen are getting odds of -3.5 points against SMU. The over/under total is listed at 67 points. The public betting currently has 69 percent going on SMU as the road underdog. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Navy beat up by Notre Dame
The Navy football team had a five-game win streak come to an end last weekend in a 52-20 loss at Notre Dame. The Midshipmen are still in the AAC mix as they are 7-2 overall, 5-1 in conference play, 6-3 against the spread and 6-3 with the over.
Navy brings the top rushing attack in the nation to this week’s game. The Midshipmen average 349.7 yards per game on the ground while averaging 37.9 points and 446.3 total yards per contest. Defensively, Navy is giving up 21.9 points and 321.9 yards per contest. Malcolm Perry is leading the team with 1,159 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns, while also passing for 758 yards and five scores. Nelson Smith has rushed for 512 yards and seven scores while Jamale Carothers had 396 yards and eight touchdowns. The Navy defense is being led by Jacob Springer, who has 51 tackles and seven sacks.
Mustangs rested up
SMU had a bye last week, but the Mustangs are coming off a 59-51 win over ECU two weeks ago to bounce back from a 54-48 loss at Memphis on Nov. 2. The Mustangs are now 9-1 on the season, 5-1 in the AAC, 6-4 against the spread and 9-1 with the over.
The Mustangs have one of the top offenses in the nation this season, averaging 45.1 points and 522.2 yards per game. Defensively, SMU is allowing 32.7 points and 425.8 yards per contest. Shane Buechele is having a great year, throwing for 3,195 yards and 28 touchdowns to lead the SMU offense. Xavier Jones is the top rusher with 1,063 yards and 18 touchdowns while James Proche is the leading receiver with 88 catches for 1,008 yards and 12 touchdowns. Patrick Nelson has led the SMU defense this year with 61 tackles and 9.5 sacks.
College Football Betting Trends
The Midshipmen are 5-1 against the spread in their last six home games and 7-2 ATS in their last nine conference games.
The Mustangs are 0-5 against the spread in their last five games in November and 1-4 ATS in their last five conference games.
Navy has done pretty well in this series, winning eight of the last nine meetings while covering the spread in seven of those nine encounters. I expect a lot of offense in this game, as SMU has an offense that is tough to contain and the triple-option can be very explosive against teams that aren’t prepared for it. SMU has seen it, but hasn’t stopped it. The Mustangs are going to have to outscore Navy to win and I am not sure they can do it on the road.
College Football Week 13 Prediction: Navy -3.5