Kansas State vs. Iowa State Total Pick
Usually, Big 12 matchups come with high betting totals but that isn’t the case when Kansas State and Iowa State meet. The Cyclones host the Wildcats at 7:00 p.m. ET and with the total sitting in the low-40s, is the under a safe play for bettors?
207 Kansas State Wildcats at 208 Iowa State Cyclones
7:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, November 24, 2018
Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, Iowa
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Cyclones are 13.5-point favorites to beat the Wildcats. The total, meanwhile, sits at 40.5 points. As of this writing, 58% of the public betting tickets wagered on this matchup are on the Cyclones.
Kansas State Wildcats
Kansas State redshirt sophomore QB Skylar Thompson completed 17-of-26 passes for 213 yards, one touchdown and one interception in Saturday's 21-6 win against Texas Tech. Thompson returned to action after missing last week's rivalry game due to an undisclosed injury suffered early in the TCU game on Nov. 3. He didn't show any ill effects of the injury, and he tossed his first touchdown since Oct. 6 at Baylor. It's been a slow go for Thompson this season, and he has managed only two touchdown passes in parts of the past seven games. He and his teammates are still alive for bowl eligibility, but they'll need to pull the road upset at Iowa State on Nov. 24.
Iowa State Cyclones
Iowa State freshman QB Brock Purdy was replaced by backup Kyle Kempt during the fourth quarter of Saturday's game at Texas. Purdy, whose play since being inserted as the starter gave Iowa State an outside chance of earning a spot in the Big 12 Championship Game, had a tough night in Austin. The freshman signal-caller was 10-of-23 with 130 yards and an interception, and he also took numerous hits throughout the night before being replaced by Kempt.
The under is 4-0 in the Wildcats’ last four games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
The over is 5-0 in the Cyclones’ last five games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous contest.
The under is 4-1 in the Wildcats’ last five games overall, is 4-1 in their last five conference games and is 6-1 in their last seven games coming off a win. On the other side, the under is 4-1 in the Cyclones’ last five conference games, is 16-5 in their last 21 games and is 5-0 in their last five games played in the month of November. Even with a low total, I don’t expect these two teams to score enough points to push this game over the number.
College Football Prediction: Kansas State/Iowa State under 40.5