Colorado State vs. Air Force Prediction
Is Air Force giving up too many points at home this afternoon when the Falcons play host to Colorado State at 3:30PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
111 Colorado State at 112 Air Force
Thursday, November 22, 2018
3:30PM ET – Falcon Stadium
TV: CBS Sports Network
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, Air Force is the clear favorite at home, as they are getting odds of -14.5 points against Colorado State. The over/under total for the game is currently listed at 63.5 points. The public betting currently has 53 percent going on Colorado State on the road.
Air Force coming off loss
Air Force is coming off a 35-27 loss at Wyoming last week for its third loss in four games. The Falcons are 4-7 overall and 2-5 in the Mountain West Conference. They are 6-4-1 against the spread and 6-5 with the under. Air Force is 2-1 against the spread in its last three games.
The Falcons are putting up 30.5 points and 409.6 yards per game on offense this year. They have a big rushing attack, averaging 273.7 yards per contest. Cole Fagan is leading the ground attack with 737 yards and six touchdowns while Isaiah Sanders has added 466 rushing yards and six touchdowns with 844 passing yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Air Force is giving up 26.4 points and 354 yards per game.
Rams lose four straight
Colorado State is riding a four-game losing streak right now following a 29-24 win loss at home to Utah State last week. The Rams are 3-8 overall and 2-5 in the Mountain West. They are 4-7 against the spread and 7-4 with the under. They covered last week, snapping a three-game losing streak at the betting window.
The Rams are really a mess on defense right now, allowing 37.6 points and 449.9 yards per game. Their run defense is giving up over 200 yards per game. Offensively, Colorado State is putting up just 23.2 points and 408.1 yards per game. Collin Hill has taken over starting QB duties as of late. He has thrown for 1,103 yards and five touchdowns, but also has six interceptions. Preston Williams is the leading receiver with 84 catches for 1,097 yards and 11 touchdowns. Izzy Matthews has rushed for 665 yards and four touchdowns.
College Football Betting Trends
Air Force is 2-8 against the spread in its last 10 against a losing record and 4-1-1 ATS in its last six home games.
Colorado State is 1-5 against the spread in its last six road games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss.
Air Force hasn’t been winning by wide margins when it has won and I think it’s a lot to ask of the Falcons to beat the Rams by 14 points. Air Force doesn’t have enough consistency on either side of the ball to trust that much. The Rams are obviously pretty poor on both sides of the ball, but I think they can handle themselves a little better against a straight-forward Air Force offense.
College Football Prediction: Colorado State +14.5