Arkansas State vs. Troy Prediction
After cracking the AP Top 25 earlier this week, can Troy avoid a letdown when it hosts Arkansas State at 9:30PM ET tonight?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Trojans are now 8-point home favorites versus the Red Wolves after opening as an 8.5-point favorite earlier in the week. As for the total, the number hit the board at 55.5 but has been bet down to 55 at the majority of sports books.
ARKANSAS STATE KEY TRENDS: The Red Wolves are a perfect 5-0 against the spread in their last five games overall and have covered in six of their last seven games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous contest. They're also 13-4 at the betting window in their last 17 games when taking on an opponent with a winning record and are 36-14-1 against the number in their last 51 conference games.
TROY KEY TRENDS: The Trojans are 6-1 at the betting window in their last seven games when taking on an opponent with a winning record and have covered the spread in five of their last seven games when coming off a successful cover in their previous contest. That said, they're just 1-5-1 against the number in their last seven games played on Thursday.
OUR PREDICTION: The Red Wolves should put up plenty of fight in this one. They're 3-0-1 against the spread in their last four games versus the Trojans, while the road team is 3-1-1 against the number in the last five meetings between these two teams. Arkansas State has a steady back in Warren Wand, a passing attack that is averaging 243.4 yards per game (55th in the nation) and is bowl eligible with a victory tonight. Troy's only blemish this season is a tight loss at Clemson, so the Trojans will be difficult to beat. But I expect this game to be back-and-forth and close throughout.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 12 PICK: ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES +8