Cincinnati vs. UCF Total Prediction

Cincinnati Bearcats vs. UCF Knights, 11/15/18 Predictions & Preview

No. 11 UCF faces one of its biggest tests this season on Saturday when the Knights go home to play host to No. 24 Cincinnati at 8PM ET. Will it be a low-scoring battle?

Game Snapshot & Odds

353 Cincinnati at 354 UCF

Saturday, November 17, 2018

8PM ET – Spectrum Stadium


Public Betting Trends

According to oddsmakers at, UCF is the slight favorite at home, as the Knights are getting odds of -7 points against Cincinnati. The over/under total for the contest is currently listed at 60 points. The public betting currently has 65 percent going on Cincinnati on the road.

Cincinnati on a three-game win streak

Cincinnati has won three straight coming into this weekend’s game, including a 35-23 win over South Florida at home last weekend. The Bearcats are now 9-1 overall and 5-1 in the AAC. Cincy is 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 with the under. They have hit the under in three of their last four games.

The Bearcats are strong on defense this year, allowing just 14.9 points and 278.2 yards per game. They have allowed only 177 passing yards per game this season. Offensively, the Bearcats put up 35.0 points and 447.8 yards per game. Their ground game is putting up 235.8 yards per contest. Michael Warren II is leading the team with 1,082 yards and 17 touchdowns on the ground. Quarterback Desmond Ridder has thrown for 1,897 yards and 15 touchdowns.

UCF still unbeaten

Central Florida has kept up its unbeaten season going following a 35-24 win over Navy at home last week. The Knights are now 9-0 on the season and 6-0 in the AAC. They are 6-3 against the spread and 6-3 with the under. UCF has hit the under in five of its last six games.

The Knights are putting up big numbers on offense this year, averaging 44.2 points and 543 yards per game. They are evenly balanced with production on the ground and through the air. McKenzie Milton has thrown for 2,309 yards and 21 touchdowns with just five interceptions. He also has rushed for 285 yards and eight touchdowns. Greg McCrae is the leading rusher with 673 yards and four scores while Gabriel Davis has caught 37 passes for 571 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, UCF is allowing just 21.2 points per game. However, they do allow 423.6 yards per contest, including over 200 rushing yards per game.

College Football Betting Trends


Cincinnati has hit the under in seven of its last eight games on grass and in five straight road games.


Central Florida has hit the under in five of its last six overall but has hit the over in seven of its last eight home games against a team with a winning road record.


Nobody has been able to stop UCF thus far, but the Bearcats seem to be the best defensive team the Knights have faced. However, Cincy’s defense hasn’t quite held up as well against the likes of South Florida, Ohio and Temple. The Bearcats are likely to be tested in this game. I can see UCF getting in the 30-40 point range. Cincinnati will need its offense to score a fair amount to win, so I see the over hitting in this one. The Knights have controlled the pace of play in nearly all of their games and I don’t think that changes in this game.

College Football Prediction: Cincinnati/UCF Over 60

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