Florida vs. South Carolina Prediction
One week after being throttled by Missouri in Columbia, will Florida recover and give South Carolina a game when the SEC foes meet at 12:00 p.m. ET today?
ODDSMAKERS LIKE: South Carolina. According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Gamecocks are 5.5-point home favorites versus the Gators, who opened as 8-point road underdogs. As for the total, the number hit the board at 45 but dropped to 43.5.
THE PUBLIC LIKES: South Carolina. As of Saturday morning, over 70% of public bettors are backing the Gamecocks minus the points.
HISTORICAL TRENDS LIKE: Florida. The road team is 3-0-1 against the spread in the last four meetings between these two teams and the Gators are 3-1-1 against the spread in their last five games versus the Gamecocks. The under is also a perfect 4-0 in the last four meetings between these two teams.
WHO WE LIKE: South Carolina. What am I missing here? The Gators lost by 30 last week after their head coach was fired and seemingly gave up on their season. Meanwhile, the Gamecocks were respectable in Athens in a 24-10 loss to the Bulldogs, covering easily as a 24-point underdog. Gus Muschamp also has an opportunity to get back at his former employer, so I don't know why I would back a Florida team receiving less than a touchdown.
Did you know that Randy Shannon is 11-22 against the spread in his career in conference play? Usually a team receives a small bump when an interim takes over but Shannon is emotionless so I don't expect the Gators to suddenly respond to his calm manner. I guess Florida's defense could suddenly show up but its allowed 42-plus points in back-to-back games for the first time since 1917 and has dropped four straight. So yeah, good luck with that.
The Gamecocks are a huge public favorite and I usually shy away from public faves but I can't in good conscious back a Gators team that laid down a week ago in Columbia, MO. They're much worse than anyone could imagine. I think the Gamecocks only laying 5.5 is a gift.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 11 PICK: SOUTH CAROLINA -5.5