West Virginia vs. TCU Spread Prediction

West Virginia Mountaineers vs. TCU Horned Frogs, 11/10/18 Predictions

The West Virginia Mountaineers are coming off a dramatic win over Texas in the closing seconds but will they suffer a letdown as a double-digit favorite on Saturday afternoon when they host the struggling TCU Horned Frogs at 12:00 p.m. ET?

Game Snapshot

137 TCU Horned Frogs at 138 West Virginia Mountaineers

12:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, November 10

Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium, Morgantown, West Virginia

Public Betting Trends

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Mountaineers are 11.5-point favorites to beat the Horned Frogs. The total, meanwhile, sits at 55.5 points. As of this writing, 69% of the public betting tickets wagered on this matchup are on the Mountaineers.

TCU Horned Frogs

TCU sophomore QB Michael Collins completed 23-of-33 passes for 351 yards, a touchdown and an interception and ran for 33 yards and two touchdowns in Saturday's 27-26 loss to Kansas. This was Collins' first start following Shawn Robinson's season-ending shoulder injury. He wasn't terrible, but he and his team did fritter this thing away with a 2-0 turnover disadvantage and some poor situational plays. Still, Collins averaged over 10 yards per attempt and did some damage on the ground. He may turn out to not be a downgrade on Shawn Robinson.

West Virginia Mountaineers

West Virginia senior QB Will Grier completed 28-of-42 passes for 346 yards and three touchdowns in Saturday's 42-41 win over Texas. Grier (6'2/223) and the Mountaineers kept pace in the wild shootout affair -- the teams combined for 1,098 yards of total offense -- but it looked like their fine efforts might fall just short after Texas scored a touchdown to go up 41-34 with just 2:34 remaining in the fourth quarter. The senior gunslinger then proceeded to lead WVU to glory on the team's subsequent drive, hitting Gary Jennings on a beautiful, perfectly thrown 33-yard touchdown down the middle of the end zone to pull to within one. Rather than try for the game-tying extra point, they instead went for the go-ahead two-point conversation -- and notched it. Just a thrilling game. One thing to note moving forward, Grier was dealing with a leg injury during the contest. We will monitor that during the upcoming practice week. The Mountaineers will look to lay a crooked number on a listless TCU squad next weekend.

Betting Trends

TCU

The Horned Frogs are 2-5 against the spread in their last seven road games and are winless at the betting window in their last six consecutive games.

West Virginia

The Mountaineers are 5-2-1 against the spread in their last eight games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last five games versus a team with a losing record.

Prediction

There’s not much to like about Gary Patterson’s Horned Frogs right now, especially from a betting standpoint as they’re winless ATS in their last six games. Hell, they’re even 1-4 against the number in their last five games against the Mountaineers. That said, this is a true letdown spot for the Mountaineers, who are coming off that dramatic, last-second victory over Texas. They also have Oklahoma State and Oklahoma on deck so this is a perfect spot to grab the points in a game where the line feels inflated.

College Football Prediction: TCU Horned Frogs +11.5

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