Texas Tech vs. Texas Spread Prediction

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Texas Longhorns, 11/10/18 Week 11 Predictions

Following their third loss of the season, the Texas Longhorns will attempt to rebound on Saturday night when they visit the Texas Tech Red Raiders at 7:30 p.m. ET. Listed as a small dog, will the Red Raiders pull off the small upset?

Game Snapshot

197 Texas Longhorns at 198 Texas Tech Red Raiders

7:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, November 10

Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, Texas

Public Betting Trends

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Longhorns are 2-point favorites to beat the Red Raiders. The total, meanwhile, sits at 62.5 points. As of this writing, 63% of the public betting tickets wagered on this matchup are on the Longhorns.

Texas Longhorns

Texas HC Tom Herman said Monday that sophomore QB Sam Ehlinger (shoulder) is "still not fully healed" from an injury he suffered in mid-October. Ehlinger (6'3/225), who injured his right (throwing) shoulder early in Texas' Oct. 13 win over Baylor, completed 25-of-36 passes for 354 yards and three touchdowns in the team's Nov. 2 loss to West Virginia. The hope for the sophomore passer was that Texas' bye the week of Oct. 20 would help him get back to full strength, but that hasn't been the case. With Ehlinger playing at less than 100 percent, the Texas offensive line is under even more pressure to keep their quarterback from taking any hits in the Nov. 10 matchup with Texas Tech.

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Texas Tech freshman QB Alan Bowman (lung) has been released from the hospital and will rejoin team activities on Thursday. This is the second four-day stint for the partially collapsed lung he suffered against West Virginia in late September. It's obviously a positive that he's been released, and hopefully this is the last time he'll have to spend time in the hospital for the issue. Again, all obvious, but worth stating. His status for Saturday against Texas is obviously in doubt, and in doubt might be too optimistic. The important thing is for the freshman signal-caller to get healthy.

Betting Trends

Texas

The Longhorns are 1-6-1 against the spread in their last eight games played in the month of November.

Texas Tech

They’re 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games and are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall.

Prediction

The Texas Tech offense ground to a halt a week ago against Oklahoma when sophomore quarterback Jett Duffey was forced to play when freshman signal-caller Alan Bowman left the game with a reoccurring partially collapsed lung. That said, Duffey received a full week of practice and preparation this week for Texas and I expect him to play better. As for the Longhorns, they suffered that devastating last-second loss to West Virginia and now has to go on the road with little to play for. I’ll back the home dog.

 

College Football Prediction: Texas Tech Red Raiders +2

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