Iowa State vs. Baylor Spread Prediction

Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears, 11/10/18 Week 11 Predictions

The Baylor Bears are coming off an impressive upset win over Oklahoma State at home but hit the road on Saturday to take on the Iowa State Cyclones at 3:30 p.m. ET. Listed as a sizable underdog, will Baylor cover?

Game Snapshot

133 Baylor Bears at 134 Iowa State Cyclones

3:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, November 10

Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, Iowa

Public Betting Trends

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Cyclones are 17-point favorites to beat the Bears. The total, meanwhile, sits at 51 points. As of this writing, 53% of the public betting tickets wagered on this matchup are on the Cyclones.

Baylor Bears

Baylor sophomore QB Charlie Brewer (concussion) went 4-of-8 for 56 yards and two touchdowns off the bench in Saturday's 35-31 come-from-behind win over Oklahoma State. Brewer cleared out of the concussion protocol late in the week and was cleared to play but curiously didn't start. Instead, redshirt junior QB Jalan McClendon got the call for his first career start -- and struggled mightily, including a brutal interception into the end zone in the first quarter. HC Matt Rhule pulled the plug on McClendon late in the third quarter and inserted Brewer, and the offense immediately started clicking. Brewer's eight-yard TD pass to Denzel Mims to take a 35-31 lead with :07 left will go down as perhaps the most memorable play of Baylor's season.

Iowa State Cyclones

Iowa State freshman QB Brock Purdy completed 16-of-22 passes for 265 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 27 yards in Saturday's 27-3 win over Kansas. Purdy's best friend was freakazoid WR Hakeem Butler, who made a few ridiculous plays en route to a 5-164-2 line. The Cyclones are now bowl eligible at 6-3. They'll look to stay in the Big 12 title game hunt next week against Baylor.

Betting Trends

Baylor

The Bears are 4-11 against the spread in their last 15 games played in November.

Iowa State

The Cyclones are 21-5-1 against the spread in their last 17 conference games and 24-6-1 ATS in their last 31 games overall.

Prediction

The Bears got up for last week but the Cowboys were coming off an emotion home victory over Texas the week before and played flat. Baylor is 0-3-1 against the spread in its last four games against Iowa State and 0-3-1 ATS in its last four trips to Ames. The home team has also dominated this series at the betting window, going 11-3-1 against the spread in the last 15 meetings. The favorite is 6-2-1 against the spread in the last nine meetings as well.

College Football Prediction: Iowa State Cyclones -17

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