LSU vs. Alabama Prediction
In the most-anticipated game of the season thus far, No. 3 Alabama plays host to No. 2 LSU today at 3:30PM ET. Will Bama be able to defend its home turf against the Tigers?
Game Snapshot & Odds
167 LSU vs. 168 Alabama
Saturday, November 9, 2019
3:30PM ET – Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Alabama is the favorite at home, as the Crimson Tide are getting odds of -6 points against LSU. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 63.5 points. The public betting currently has 59 percent going on LSU as the road underdog. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Bama expecting Tua to play
Alabama is coming off a 48-7 win at home over Arkansas two weeks ago to improve to 8-0 on the season and 5-0 in the SEC. The Crimson Tide are 4-4 against the spread while going 4-4 with the over/under total.
Bama has been great on both sides of the ball, as the defense is allowing just 15.2 points and 307.9 yards per game, while the offense is averaging 48.6 points and 506.9 yards per contest. Bama does have a big concern though, as quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is fresh off ankle surgery and expected to play despite not being at 100 percent. Tua has thrown or 2,166 yards and 27 touchdowns with two interceptions. If he can’t go, Mac Jones will get the start. Jones has thrown for 472 yards and four touchdowns in his place thus far. DeVonta Smith is the team’s leading receiver with 43 catches for 721 yards and nine touchdowns, while Najee Harris is the leading rusher with 642 yards and five scores.
Tigers bring a great offense
The LSU Tigers are 8-0 on the season following a 23-20 win at home over Auburn two weeks ago. LSU has a 4-0 record in the SEC this year while going 5-3 against the spread and 5-3 with the over.
LSU is among the best in the nation offensively, as the Tigers are putting up 46.8 points and 536 yards per contest. Defensively, LSU is allowing 20 points and 316.5 yards per contest. Joe Burrow is among the top Heisman contenders right now, as he has thrown for 2,805 yards and 30 touchdowns with just four interceptions. Justin Jefferson and Ja’Marr Chase are his leading receivers. They have combined for 98 receptions, 1,568 yards and 18 touchdowns. On the ground, Clyde Edwards-Helaire is leading the team with 683 yards and eight touchdowns.
College Football Betting Trends
The Crimson Tide are 7-2 against the spread in their last nine games following a bye week, but just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a win.
The Tigers have covered in five straight road games and they are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 SEC contests.
Alabama has won eight straight against LSU, going 6-2 against the spread in those eight games. LSU is a different team this year with an absolutely potent offense. However, the Tigers were limited by a good Auburn defense two weeks ago. The Alabama defense isn’t as strong as it usually is, but I expect the Tide to be at their best with two weeks to prepare under Nick Saban. The Tide are being overlooked somewhat in this game and that has to be a great motivating tool for Saban. With two weeks to prepare, I trust Saban more than I do Ed Orgeron. I like Bama to do what it does and make a statement in a big game.
College Football Week 11 Prediction: Alabama -6