Iowa vs. Wisconsin Total Pick
Can we expect a very low-scoring battle on Saturday when No. 13 Wisconsin plays host to No. 18 Iowa at 4PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
193 Iowa vs. 194 Wisconsin
Saturday, November 9, 2019
4PM ET – Camp Randall Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Wisconsin is the favorite in this game, as the Badgers are getting odds of -9.5 points against Iowa. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 38 points. The public betting currently has 58 percent going on Iowa as the road underdog. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Iowa wins back-to-back
Since suffering back-to-back losses to Michigan and Penn State, Iowa has picked up wins over Purdue and Northwestern. The Hawkeyes are coming off a 20-0 win at Northwestern two weeks ago to move to 6-2 on the season. Iowa is 3-2 in the Big Ten, 3-5 against the spread and 6-1-1 with the under.
Iowa has one of the nation’s top defensive units this year. The Hawkeyes are allowing just 10.1 points and 266.4 yards per game. Offensively, Iowa is putting up 24.4 points and 392.6 yards per contest. Nate Stanley has thrown for 1,950 yards and 10 touchdowns to lead the Iowa offense while Mekhi Sargent is the leading rusher with 443 yards and four touchdowns. Ihmir Smith-Marsette is the leading receiver with 30 catches for 463 yards and three scores.
Badgers get humbled
Wisconsin was beaten down by Ohio State two weeks ago on the road, 38-7. The Badgers have lost two straight, including a 24-23 loss at Illinois on Oct. 19. Wisconsin is 6-2 on the season, 3-2 in the Big Ten, 5-3 against the spread and 6-2 with the under.
Like Iowa, Wisconsin has one of the top defenses in the nation. The Badgers are giving up just 11.4 points and 225.6 yards per game this year. Chris Orr and Zack Baun are leading the defense by combining for 84 tackles and 16.5 sacks. Offensively, Wisconsin is putting up 35.6 points and 412.5 yards per game. Jonathan Taylor is leading the offense with 1,009 rushing yards and 15 touchdowns. Jack Coan has thrown for 1,491 yards and 10 touchdowns while Quintez Cephus is the leading receiver with 27 catches for 410 yards and three scores.
College Football Betting Trends
The Hawkeyes are 6-0-1 with the under in their last seven games overall, but 8-3 with the over in their last 11 road games.
The Badgers have hit the under in four straight conference games and in five of their last six games in November.
These two have hit the over in two straight meetings, with Wisconsin leading the offensive charge. That should be the case again this week, but I think the key in this game will be the lack of offense from Iowa. The Badgers haven’t given up more than 15 points in a home game and have three shutouts at home this year. Coming off a bye week, the Badgers have had two weeks to chew on the Ohio State beatdown. Their defense should be very eager to eat up this mundane Iowa offense. The Iowa defense hasn’t given up more than 20 points in any game. I expect the Hawkeyes to hold up on defense, but also give up some points. This could be about a 20-0 game. I just don’t see points being scored here, so go with the under, even though it is incredibly low.
College Football Week 11 Prediction: Iowa/Wisconsin Under 38