Texas Tech vs. TCU Prediction & Odds

Texas Tech vs. TCU 11/5/22 Betting Prediction, Odds & Trends

Unranked Texas Tech travels to Fort Worth, TX to face #7 TCU at 12:00 PM ET on Saturday. Can the Red Raiders cover the spread as 8.5-point road underdogs?

Texas Tech is 4-4 on the year, and their best wins came against Houston and Texas. Their worst losses were to Kansas State and Baylor. The Red Raiders are 4-4 ATS on the season. 

TCU is 8-0 on the year with their best wins coming against Oklahoma State and Kansas State. They will look to remain undefeated Saturday. The Horned Frogs are 6-1-1 ATS on the year.

Game Matchup and Betting Odds

401 Texas Tech Red Raiders +8.5 at 402 TCU Horned Frogs -8.5; O/U 69 

12:00 PM ET Saturday, November 5th, 2022

Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX

Texas Tech vs. TCU Public Betting Information

The public favors the Red Raiders in this game. Our CFB Public Betting Page shows that 56% of public bets are on Texas Tech +8.5. Do note that those numbers are subject to change and could be different once game time rolls around. 

Texas Tech Game Notes

There might be a quarterback controversy brewing in Lubbock. All three of Texas Tech’s quarterbacks (Behren Morton, Donovan Smith, and Tyler Shough) played in the Red Raiders’ 45-17 home loss to Baylor last weekend. They all threw interceptions as the Texas Tech offense sputtered, mustering only 159 passing yards. Tyler Shough was initially named the team’s starter in August but he promptly got hurt, ceding the job to Donovan Smith. The plan was for Shough to be available for this weekend’s TCU game, and he appears to be the frontrunner to start this game for the Red Raiders. Shough threw for 154 yards on only 10 passing attempts in Texas Tech’s season-opening win over Murray State. His talent could provide Texas Tech with the spark it needs to cover this contest against an undefeated TCU team on Saturday.     

TCU Game Notes               

TCU doesn’t have any questions about their starting quarterback. Senior Max Duggan hasn’t been a part of the Heisman Trophy conversation, but maybe he should be. Duggan has thrown multiple touchdowns in every game he’s started and his touchdown pass-to-interception ratio is elite at 22-2. His QBR of 83.9 ranks 11th nationally, and his passer rating of 182.5 ranks 4th in the country. He’s been great at engineering the Horned Frogs’ dynamic offense.

TCU’s pass defense is led by linebacker Dee Winters and safety Bud Clark. Winters is 4th in the Big 12 with 4.5 sacks and 4th on the team with 39 total tackles on the season. He’s added a pass breakup and a fumble recovery in addition to those numbers. Bud Clark is tied for the Big 12 lead with 3 interceptions on the campaign. He’s intercepted a pass in each of TCU’s last three games. He’ll look to make it four on Saturday.       

Texas Tech vs. TCU Betting Trends

Texas Tech is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS loss.

Texas Tech is 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Texas Tech is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss of more than 20 points.

The over is 35-17-2 in Texas Tech’s last 54 games against a team with a winning record.

Texas Tech vs. TCU Betting Prediction

Texas Tech has been a Jekyll and Hyde team all season. They beat Texas and smoked West Virginia, but they also got killed by Baylor last weekend. They have the potential to beat any team in the Big 12 in any given week, and that’s what makes them so dangerous and unpredictable. 

For TCU, this is the ultimate look-ahead spot or trap game. They play at Texas next weekend in a massively important night game on ABC. It’s possible that the Horned Frogs take a 4-4 Texas Tech team too lightly. Because of that, I’ll take the Red Raiders and the points. 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 10 PREDICTION: TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS +8.5

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