Maryland vs. Michigan Prediction
No. 3 Michigan is once again a big home favorite when it hosts Maryland today at 3:30PM ET. Is the smart money on the Wolverines despite the large spread?
According to oddsmakers at BetDSI, Michigan is favored at home in this game, as the Wolverines are getting odds of -30.5 points against Maryland. The over/under total for the contest has been set at 54 points. Michigan has won four of five meetings with Maryland and the Wolverines are 3-2 against the spread in those five games.
Michigan is coming off a 32-23 win over Michigan State last week to improve to 8-0 on the season and 5-0 in the Big Ten. The Wolverines are just 4-4 against the spread this season, failing to cover in their last two and three of their last four. Michigan’s defense ranks among the best in the country, allowing just 11.6 points and 231.3 yards per game on the season. Michigan is allowing only 120.1 yards per game through the air, which is tops in the nation. Offensively, Michigan is putting up 46.6 points and 477.1 yards per game. They have a great ground game, with four backs at 348 yards or more this season. Quarterback Wilton Speight has thrown for 1,691 yards and 13 touchdowns with three interceptions. Amara Darboh is the leading receiver with 38 receptions for 664 yards and five touchdowns.
Maryland is coming off a 42-36 loss at Indiana last week to fall to 5-3 on the season and 2-3 in the Big Ten. The Terps are now 3-5 against the spread, going just 1-3 ATS in their last four games. Maryland, like Michigan, is also led by its defense. The Terps are giving up just 23.3 points per game. However, there is some concern with the unit, as they allow 220 rushing yards per contest. On offense, Maryland is putting up 32.6 points and 423.8 yards per contest, including 252 rushing yards per game. Ty Johnson and Lorenzo Harrison have combined for 1,199 yards rushing and nine touchdowns while Perry Hills has thrown for 1,070 yards and 10 touchdowns.
Michigan was looking pretty unstoppable for a while, but they have slipped a little bit in recent weeks in regards to covering big spreads. They failed to cover a 39.5-point spread at home against Illinois a few weeks back. Maryland isn’t a great team, so I don’t expect them to do much scoring. The big question will be can Michigan put up enough points. Due to Maryland’s poor run defense, I think the Wolverines will cover. They should be able to steadily run the ball on the Terps.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 10 PREDICTION: MICHIGAN -30.5