Miami vs. Florida State Total Pick

Miami vs. Florida State, 11/2/19 Week 10 Predictions & Preview

Will defense be the story of Saturday’s ACC rivalry game when Florida State hosts Miami at 3:30PM ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

387 Miami vs. 388 Florida State

Saturday, November 2, 2019

3:30PM ET – Doak Campbell Stadium

TV: ABC

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Public Betting Trends

According to the latest oddsmakers, Florida State is the favorite at home, as the Seminoles are getting odds of -3 points against Miami. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 48.5 points. The public betting currently has 67 percent going on Miami as the road underdog. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.

FSU has its best showing

Florida State ended a two-game losing streak last weekend with a 35-17 victory over Syracuse at home. The Seminoles are now 4-4 on the season, 3-3 in the ACC, 3-4-1 against the spread and 5-3 with the under.

FSU has struggled defensively this season, allowing 29 points and 444.2 yards per game. Offensively, Florida State is averaging 29.4 points and 417 yards per contest. Cam Akers has been leading the offense with 917 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns. Alex Hornibrook has settled into the starting QB role. He has thrown for 851 yards and six touchdowns this season with just one INT. Tamorrion Terry is the leading receiver with 29 catches for 606 yards and six touchdowns.

Miami edges Pitt on the road

The Miami Hurricanes are coming off a 16-12 win at Pittsburgh last weekend. The Canes have alternated wins and losses over their last five games. Miami is 4-4 on the year, 2-3 in the ACC, 4-4 against the spread and 4-4 with the over/under total.

Miami has had a pretty strong defense all season, as the Hurricanes are giving up just 19.4 points and 301.2 yards per game. The defense is being led by Gregory Rousseau, who has 26 tackles and eight sacks. Offensively, Miami is only putting up 26.8 points and 385.2 yards per game. Due to injuries, the Canes have had to use N’Kosi Perry and Jarren Williams at QB. Perry is dealing with a shoulder injury right now that lists his as questionable for this game. The two have combined for 2,111 passing yards and 16 touchdowns. DeeJay Dallas is the leading rusher with 486 yards and six touchdowns while K.J. Osborn is the leading receiver with 33 catches for 418 yards and five touchdowns.

College Football Betting Trends

Florida State

The Seminoles have hit the under in five straight overall and their last four on grass.

Miami

The Hurricanes have hit the under in 14 of their last 18 road games and in 15 of their last 22 ACC games.

Prediction:

These two hit the over in last year’s meeting, but that snapped a 7-game under streak in the series. Defense should be the story in this meeting as well. The Hurricanes have been able to dictate most of their games due to their physical and athletic defense. They have held three of their last five opponents to just 12 points or less. FSU has a respectable offense, but the Seminoles aren’t going to overwhelm Miami. The FSU defense should see a boost in performance against this Miami offense that is banged up and hasn’t been able to get on track throughout the year.

College Football Week 10 Prediction: Miami/Florida State Under 48.5

Related: Miami vs. Florida State Spread Prediction

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