Duke vs. Miami Prediction
Two ACC teams in need of a big conference win collide on Saturday at 7PM ET when Miami hosts Duke. Which team will get the cover in this one?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Saturday, November 3, 2018
7PM ET – Hard Rock Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, Miami is favored at home in this game, as the Hurricanes are getting odds of -9.5 points against Duke. The over/under total for the contest is currently listed at 51 points. The public betting for this game currently has 70 percent going on Duke on the road. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our College Football Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Duke in a funk
Duke is coming off back-to-back losses to Virginia and Pittsburgh and has suffered three losses in four games. The Blue Devils are now 5-3 on the season, 1-3 in the ACC, 4-4 against the spread and 4-4 with the over/under. Duke has failed to cover in four of its last five games.
The Blue Devils are not as strong on defense as usual this season, allowing 23.5 points and 388.8 yards per game. Their run defense is giving up 188.1 yards per contest. Offensively, Duke is averaging 31.6 points and 409.9 yards per game. Daniel Jones has thrown for 1,457 yards and 13 touchdowns this year to lead the team while Deon Jackson has rushed for 534 yards and five scores.
Miami drops two straight
Miami has lost back-to-back games to Virginia and Boston College over the last few weeks. The Hurricanes are now 5-3 on the season, 2-2 in the ACC, 3-5 against the spread and 5-3 with the over. Miami has failed to cover in three straight games.
The Canes have been a pretty good defense this year, allowing just 19.3 points and 261.5 yards per game. Their run defense has been a little suspect, giving up 120.8 yards per game. On offense, Miami is putting up 34.5 points and 387.6 yards per contest. Malik Rosier has thrown for 931 yards with six touchdowns and five interceptions while also rushing for six touchdowns. Travis Homer is the team’s leading rusher with 569 yards and a score.
College Football Betting Trends
Duke is 5-1 against the spread in their last six on the road and 5-2 ATS in their last seven against winning teams.
Miami is 8-2 against the spread in its last 10 games in November, but 1-6 ATS in their last seven conference games.
Miami is definitely solid on defense, but the Canes don’t have an offense that is too overwhelming. Duke should be able to contain Miami’s offense and be competitive on offense. The Blue Devils have some weapons to work with that will find a hole in the Miami defense here and there. The Canes are being given too much credit for this game considering they haven’t beaten anyone impressive this season. Duke actually has beaten some respectable opponents and played tough against others. I will take the Blue Devils and the points.
College Football Prediction: Duke +9.5