Navy vs. South Florida Pick
Will No. 22 Navy have another high-scoring contest when it hits the road to face South Florida on Friday at 7PM ET?
According to oddsmakers at BetDSI, South Florida is favored at home in this game, as the Bulls are getting odds of -8 points against Navy. The over/under total for the contest is currently listed at 63 points. These two don’t have much history, but they did meet last year with Navy getting a 29-17 win at home. The two hit the under of 51 points.
Navy has managed to climb to No. 22 in the rankings thanks to a 4-1 overall record and 4-0 AAC record. The Midshipmen are 4-2 with the over this season thanks to its powerful run game. Navy is putting up 33.8 points and 293.2 rushing yards per game on the year. Five different players have over 100 rushing yards on the season with QB Will Worth leading the way. He has run for 489 yards and nine touchdowns while throwing for 688 yards and five touchdowns. Usually the Navy defense is pretty stout, but the Midshipmen are struggling somewhat this year, allowing 25 points and 404 yards per game. They have given up at least 28 points in their last three games.
South Florida is coming off a surprising 46-30 loss at Temple to fall to 6-2 on the season and 3-1 in the AAC. The Bulls are 5-2 with the over this season thanks to a dynamic offense that is averaging 42.4 points and 487.1 yards per game. The Bulls are putting up 255.5 rushing yards per contest and have one of the top players in the country leading the offense. Quinton Flowers has thrown for 1,722 yards and 15 touchdowns while rushing for 745 yards and eight scores. The team also has Marlon Mack in the backfield. He has run for 659 yards and 10 touchdowns in 2016. While the offense is great, the defense isn’t. USF is giving up 28.4 points and 447.6 yards per game this season, including 206.3 yards per game on the ground. In last week’s loss to Temple, the Bulls allowed 319 rushing yards.
I think this game will be another high-scoring shootout. Navy should be able to march the ball right down the field against this USF run defense and the Midshipmen have shown they have trouble stopping good offensive teams. USF is certainly a good offensive team with the combo of Flowers and Mack. I can see this game pushing 80 points.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 9 PICK: NAVY/SOUTH FLORIDA OVER 63