Troy vs. South Alabama Prediction
Will the Troy Trojans go on the road and cover a double-digit spread when they take on South Alabama tonight at 8PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Tuesday, October 23, 2018
8PM ET – Ladd-Peebles Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, Troy is favored on the road, as they are getting odds of -12.5 points against South Alabama. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 55.5 points. The public betting for this game currently has 71 percent going on Troy on the road. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our College Football Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Troy ends win streak
The Troy Trojans suffered an end to their five-game win streak when they lost 22-16 at Liberty two weeks ago. Troy is now 5-2 overall and 3-0 in the Sun Belt Conference. The Trojans are 4-2-1 against the spread and 5-2 with the over. The Trojans have failed to cover in their last two games.
Troy is giving up just 24.6 points and 371.9 yards per game on defense this season. On offense, the Trojans are putting up 33.7 points and 413.6 yards per game. Their rushing attack is averaging 207.7 yards per game. The team just lost quarterback Kaleb Barker to a season-ending injury. He had thrown for 1,103 yards and 10 touchdowns while rushing for 261 yards. Sawyer Smith has filled in and has 348 yards and four touchdowns. B.J. Smith is the leading rusher with 587 yards and eight touchdowns.
Jaguars end losing streak
South Alabama put an end to a three-game losing streak two weeks ago with a 45-7 win over Alabama State. The Jaguars are now 2-5 on the season, 1-2 in conference play, 3-3-1 against the spread and 6-1 with the over.
The Jaguars are struggling on defense this season, allowing 39.3 points and 446 yards per game. Their run defense is allowing 221.7 yards per contest. On offense, South Alabama is putting up 25.7 points and 343 yards per game. Evan Orth has thrown for 1,366 yards and seven touchdowns to lead the offense while Jamarius Way has 39 catches for 539 yards and two scores. Tra Minter is the leading rusher with 263 yards and five scores.
College Football Betting Trends
The Trojans are 7-1 against the spread in their last eight road games and 5-0-1 ATS in their last six conference games.
The Jaguars are just 8-23-1 against the spread in their last 32 conference games and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games against winning teams.
South Alabama has covered the spread in three straight in this series. While the Jaguars are struggling on both sides of the ball, the Trojans are without their quarterback. That could pose some problems, especially on the road for a night game. South Alabama was able to get a little momentum going in last week’s dominant win while Troy really struggled without Barker in its last game. I think South Alabama is able to be competitive tonight and cover.
College Football Prediction: South Alabama +12.5