Louisville vs. Florida State Prediction

College Football Predictions: Louisville vs. Florida State Week 8 10/21/17

Can Louisville rebound off an ugly home loss to Boston College to cover the spread versus Florida State at 12:00PM ET?

ODDSMAKERS LIKE: Florida State. According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Seminoles are 6-point home favorites versus the Cardinals, who opened as 7-point underdogs. The total, meanwhile, hit the board at 55.5 but has climbed to 58 at the majority of sportsbooks.

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THE PUBLIC LIKES: The Seminoles. The public is backing Florida State in this matchup, although not by much. Only 51% of public bettors are laying the 6.5 points with the Seminoles, which could be an indication of why the line dropped a half point. If there's any sharp action on Louisville, we could see the line drop again before kickoff on Saturday.

HISTORICAL TRENDS LIKE: Neither. The Cardinals are just 3-13-1 against the spread in their last 17 games overall. They're also just 2-5-1 against the number in their last eight road games, are 1-8 at the betting window in their last nine games played in October, and are winless at 0-5 against the spread in their last five games following a loss. On the other side, the Seminoles are 0-2-2 against the spread in their last four games versus a team with a winning record and are 0-3-2 against the number in the last five games overall.

WHO WE LIKE: Louisville. The Cardinals' defense couldn't get a stop last week against a bad Boston College offense but Lamar Jackson was still his sensational self. He completed 19-of-39 passes for 332 yards with two touchdowns and an interception while also rushing for 180 yards and three additional scores. Florida State's defensive front is nasty but Jackson has thrown for 2,322 yards with a 16/5 touchdown-to-interception ratio and has rushed for 690 yards and 10 scores. Louisville is scuffling, but I'll take Jackson and the points against an FSU offense that can't get much going with freshman James Blackmon under center.



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