Purdue vs. Nebraska Pick
Will No. 8 Nebraska set the pace for the over to hit when it hosts Purdue this Saturday at 3:30PM ET?
According to oddsmakers at BetDSI, Nebraska is favored at home in this game, as the Cornhuskers are getting odds of -24 points against the Boilermakers. The over/under total for the game is listed at 61.5 points. Nebraska has won two of three meetings with Purdue in its short time in the Big Ten. The two have hit the under in two of those three meetings.
The Cornhuskers are off to a 6-0 start to the season with a 3-0 start in Big Ten play following a 27-22 win at Indiana last week. Nebraska is 5-1 with the under this year, hitting it in four straight coming into this weekend. The unders are pretty surprising given that Nebraska is averaging 35.3 points and 453.8 yards per game in 2016. The Huskers have a great ground attack, with Terrell Newby, Tommy Armstrong Jr. and Devine Ozigbo combining for 1,178 yards and 13 touchdowns. Armstrong Jr. has also thrown for 1,359 yards and 10 touchdowns. Nebraska is hoping to get Jordan Westerkamp back at receiver this week. He missed last week’s game with a back injury. Defensively, Nebraska has given up just 18.3 points and 344.5 yards per game this season. They haven’t allowed more than 22 points in Big Ten play.
Purdue is coming off a 49-35 loss to Iowa last week, as the Boilermakers fell to 3-3 on the season and 1-2 in the Big Ten and they fired coach Darrell Hazell after the loss. He was just 9-33 in his time with the Boilermakers. Purdue is 5-1 with the over this season and 3-0 with the over in the Big Ten. While the offense is respectable, putting up 27.5 points and 441.8 yards per game, the defense is the reason for the overs hitting. Purdue is allowing 34.3 points and 446.3 yards per contest. The Boilermakers are giving up 264.3 rushing yards per contest as well, which should be a big problem against Nebraska. David Blough is leading the Purdue offense with 1,756 passing yards and 12 touchdowns, but also has 10 interceptions. Markell Jones has added 372 rushing yards and two touchdowns.
I have no doubt that Nebraska will put up a pretty big number in this game, as their run game should trample over the Boilermakers’ poor run defense. However, I can see Purdue having some problems on the road moving the ball against Nebraska. There is a reason the Cornhuskers have hit the under in 5 of 6 games, and that is their defense. They have already shutdown similar teams and will likely shut down Purdue.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 8 PICK: PURDUE/NEBRASKA UNDER 61.5