Missouri vs. Vanderbilt Prediction
Can No. 22 Missouri go on the road and cover a three-touchdown spread when the Tigers visit Vanderbilt today at 4PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
407 Missouri vs. 408 Vanderbilt
Saturday, October 19, 2019
4PM ET – Vanderbilt Stadium
TV: SEC Network
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Missouri is the favorite on the road, as the Tigers are getting odds of -21 points against Vanderbilt. The over/under total for the game is listed at 55.5 points. The public betting currently has 80 percent going on Missouri as the road favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Vanderbilt in a hole
Vanderbilt has been struggling this year, falling to 1-5 on the season following a 34-10 loss to UNLV at home last weekend. The Commodores are 0-3 in the SEC, 0-6 against the spread and 4-2 with the under.
There isn’t much to like about Vandy, as the defense is giving up 36.8 points and 483.2 yards per game this year, while the offense is putting up just 18 points and 339.7 yards per contest. Ke’Shawn Vaughn has been leading the Vandy offense with 607 rushing yards and five touchdowns, but he is questionable to play today due to an undisclosed injury. Riley Neal has thrown for 1,102 yards and four touchdowns at QB while Kalija Lipscomb has 31 receptions for 343 yards and two touchdowns.
Tigers picking up steam
The Missouri Tigers are riding a five-game win streak right now following a 38-27 win at home over Ole Miss. Missouri is 5-1 overall, 2-0 in the SEC, 4-2 against the spread and 4-2 with the under.
Missouri has been led this season by its defense. The Tigers are giving up just 15.8 points and 262.7 yards per game this year. On offense, Missouri is putting up 38.8 points and 474.3 yards per contest. Kelly Bryant has settled in nicely with Missouri, throwing for 1,575 yards and 12 touchdowns this year to lead the offense. He has spread the ball out very well, as six different receivers have over 190 yards. Larry Rountree III is the leading rusher with 557 yards and seven touchdowns while Cale Garrett is leading the defense with 39 tackles and three interceptions.
College Football Betting Trends
The Commodores have failed to cover in five straight home games and they are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a failed cover.
The Tigers are 9-3 against the spread in their last 12 against a losing team, but just 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games.
Missouri has won three straight in this series, covering the spread in two of the three wins. That includes a 45-17 win at Vanderbilt in 2017. The Commodores don’t have much going for them and they have a pretty big injury on offense. If Vaughn is able to go, he’s not likely to be healthy and facing a pretty sound rush defense in Missouri. It could be an issue for the Tigers to go on the road, but I think this is a good road matchup to get. Missouri should be able to control the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball and take care of business against a team with no real prospects to rely on.
College Football Week 8 Prediction: Missouri -21