Lafayette vs. Arkansas State Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, Arkansas State is favored in this game, as the Red Wolves are getting odds of -12.5 points against Lafayette. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 65.5 points. Lafayette has won three of the last four meetings with Arkansas State, covering the spread in all three wins. The public is currently giving 67 percent of the wagers on the Red Wolves at home. Tonight’s game takes place from Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, Arkansas. The contest will air live on ESPNU.
Arkansas State is coming off a 51-17 win over Coastal Carolina. The Red Wolves are 3-2 on the season and 2-0 in the conference. They are 4-1 against the spread, going 2-0 ATS at home. The Red Wolves are putting up 39.8 points and 454.6 yards per game this season. Quarterback Justice Hansen has thrown for 1,587 yards and 19 touchdowns to lead the offense while Chris Murray has 21 receptions for 347 yards and four touchdowns. Warren Wand is the leading rusher with 285 yards and four scores. Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing 26.4 points and 448.2 yards per game.
Lafayette has won its last two games to get to 3-3 on the season and 2-1 in the Sun Belt Conference. The Cajuns are 2-4 against the spread but have covered in their last two games. Lafayette is averaging 34.8 points and 409.7 yards per game on offense this season. Andre Nunez has taken over at quarterback the last three games and has 732 yards with four touchdowns passing. Trey Ragas is the leading rusher with 525 yards and seven touchdowns while Keenan Barnes has 31 receptions for 434 yards. Defensively, Lafayette is allowing 39.7 points and 476.3 yards per game, including 238.7 yards per game on the ground.
Arkansas State has been great at home, covering the spread in seven straight in their own stadium. The Red Wolves have also covered in 11 of their last 14 after a win and in five straight in October. The difference in this game should be the Arkansas State defense. The Red Wolves are able to allow nearly 13 points less per game. That should do enough to slow down the Lafayette offense while the Wolves move the ball consistently on the Cajuns.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PREDICTION: ARKANSAS STATE -12.5