Vanderbilt vs. Florida Spread Pick
One week after pulling off the small upset versus LSU, can Florida avoid a letdown when it takes on Vanderbilt at 12:00 p.m. ET on Saturday? The Gators are currently favored by over a touchdown.
12:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, October 13, 2018
Vanderbilt Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Gators are 7.5-point favorites to beat the Commodores. The total, meanwhile, sits at 50.5 points. As of this writing, 72% of the public betting tickets wagered on this matchup are on the Gators.
Florida redshirt sophomore QB Feleipe' Franks completed just 12-of-27 passes for 161 yards with a touchdown and interception in a 27-19 victory over LSU on Saturday. He also added 42 yards on the ground on six carries. Franks should be thanking the Florida defense and run game, because if we're being honest, he didn't have much to do with the Gators pulling off the upset victory. He was also facing one of the toughest secondaries he'll face all year, but he struggled to get the football into spots. His touchdown was a three-yard pass to Moral Stephens with 1:09 left in the first half. Franks and the Gators take on Vanderbilt next Saturday.
Vanderbilt senior QB Kyle Shurmur completed just 14-of-28 passes for 169 yards in a 41-13 loss on Saturday to Georgia. Shurmur needed to be at his very best to have any shot of upsetting Georgia. Nope. The senior signal-caller has struggled with accuracy for most of the season, and while he didn't throw an interception in this one, he was off the mark far too much for Vanderbilt to sustain anything offensively. Shurmur and the Commodores have another brutal game against the strong Florida defense next Saturday.
The Gators are 4-1 against the spread in their last five road games versus the Commodores.
The Commodores are 1-8-1 against the number in their last 10 conference games.
Florida’s biggest weakness is its offense and the inconsistencies from Franks but he shouldn’t struggle much against Vanderbilt, which ranks 84th in the nation in pass defense efficiency. This Commodores defense just allowed a season-high 560 yards to Georgia in a 41-13 defeat and Florida is holding opponents to just 287 yards per game in their last four. If the Gators play down to their opponent in this one, fine. But I don’t see Vandy being a live dog.
College Football Prediction: Florida Gators -7.5