Air Force vs. San Diego St. Prediction
The San Diego Aztecs are giving up double-digit points tonight when they play host to Air Force at 9PM ET. Is that too many points to give the Falcons?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Friday, October 12, 2018
9PM ET – SDCCU Stadium
TV: CBS Sports Network
Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new College Football Odds & Betting Page.
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, San Diego State is favored at home in this game, as the Aztecs are getting odds of -10.5 points against Air Force. The over/under total is currently listed at 44 points. The public betting for this game currently has 60 percent going on San Diego State at home. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our College Football Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Aztecs on 4-game win streak
San Diego State is on a four-game winning streak coming into tonight’s game after losing the season opener at Stanford. The Aztecs are 4-1 overall, 1-0 in the Mountain West, 2-3 against the spread and 4-1 with the under as well.
San Diego State has been led by its defense this year, as the Aztecs are allowing just 19.8 points and 315.4 yards per game. Their run defense is giving up just 61.8 yards per game. Offensively, SDSU is putting up just 21.6 points and 349.8 yards per game. Juwan Washington is leading the offense with 513 rushing yards and five touchdowns while Ryan Agnew has thrown for 577 yards and three touchdowns.
Air Force stops losing streak
The Air Force Falcons snapped their three-game losing streak this past weekend with a 35-7 win over Navy. Air Force is now 2-3 on the season, 0-2 in the Mountain West, 3-2 against the spread and 4-1 with the under.
Air Force has been pretty formidable on offense, averaging 31.4 points and 371 yards per game. Their run game has been near the best in the country, averaging 255.2 yards per contest. Six different players have run for over 100 yards this year. Cole Fagan is leading the way with 252 yards and two touchdowns while Isaiah Sanders is the leading passer with 289 yards while also rushing for 126 yards. Defensively, Air Force is holding opponents to 22 points and 340.6 yards per game.
College Football Betting Trends
San Diego State
San Diego State is 20-6-1 against the spread in their last 27 games against a team with a losing record and 36-15-2 in their last 53 conference games.
Air Force has covered the spread in nine straight games following a win of 20 points or more. They have also covered in four of their last five on grass.
These two have narrowly hit the over in their last two games, playing right near the mark. I don’t love this spread as San Diego State hasn’t been winning by large margins. The Aztecs have relied on their defense to keep the score low and their offense does enough to win from there. Despite that, Air Force tends to play right into SDSU’s hands. The Aztecs can stop the run and control the line of scrimmage, which is what Air Force needs to do to win. Air Force is just 1-7 against the spread in their last eight against the Aztecs and 2-5 ATS in their last seven trips to San Diego State.
College Football Prediction: San Diego State -10.5