Virginia vs. Miami Prediction
Can Miami handle being a slight home favorite when the Hurricanes host No. 20 Virginia tonight at 8PM ET in ACC play?
Game Snapshot & Odds
109 Virginia vs. 110 Miami
Friday, October 11, 2019
8PM ET – Hard Rock Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Miami is the slim favorite at home, as the Hurricanes are getting odds of -2 points against Virginia. The over/under total for the game is listed at 43.5 points. The public betting currently has 69 percent going on Virginia as the slight underdog. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Miami upset by Virginia Tech
Miami had quite a game on Saturday, overcoming a big deficit against Virginia Tech only to lose in the closing seconds, 42-35. The Hurricanes are just 2-3 on the year, 0-2 in the ACC, 2-3 against the spread and 3-2 with the over.
The Hurricanes have pretty good stats for being a team that is just 2-3. Miami is allowing only 21.2 points and 283.4 yards per game on defense while the offense is averaging 32 points and 450.4 yards per game. Jarren Williams has thrown for 1,074 yards and seven touchdowns, but has three interceptions and has been sacked 19 times. He is currently listed as questionable with an arm injury. N’Kosi Perry had to step in against Virginia Tech. He threw for 422 yards against the Hokies. DeeJay Dallas is the team’s leading rusher with 409 yards and six touchdowns while Brevin Jordan has caught 23 passes for 369 yards and two scores.
Cavs fall against Notre Dame
Virginia had the weekend off in Week 6 and the Cavs are coming off a 35-20 loss at Notre Dame on Sept. 28 for its first loss. UVA is 4-1 on the year, 2-0 in the ACC, 2-2-1 against the spread and 3-2 with the over.
Virginia has been one of the stronger defensive teams in the country this year, allowing 21.4 points and 279.6 yards per game. They have 24 sacks as a unit this year with Jordan Mack leading the way with six. Offensively, the Cavs are putting up just 32.2 points and 363.6 yards per game this season. Bryce Perkins has thrown for 1,177 yards and eight touchdowns this season, but also has six interceptions and has been sacked 15 times. Perkins has rushed for 164 yards while Wayne Taulapapa is the leading rusher with 183 yards and five touchdowns. Hasise Dubois and Joe Reed have combined for 57 catches for 656 yards and six touchdowns.
College Football Betting Trends
Miami is 1-11 against the spread in their last 12 games in October and 2-7 ATS in their last nine games in ACC play.
The Cavaliers are 2-5 against the spread in their last seven Friday games, but 6-2 ATS in their last eight games in October.
Virginia won last year’s meeting at home 16-13 and has covered the spread in five of its last six against the Hurricanes. Both teams have pretty good defensive numbers, while Miami appears to be the more explosive offense. However, the Canes have struggled against good defensive teams, putting up just 20 against Florida. Virginia got a good test with Notre Dame and was competitive and the Cavs already own a 30-14 win at Pitt. I think they can find a way to contain the Miami speed. The Cavs had an extra week to prepare for this game, while Miami is on a short week.
College Football Week 7 Prediction: Virginia +2