South Alabama vs. Troy Total Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, Troy is favored at home in this game, as the Trojans are getting odds of -16.5 points against South Alabama. The over/under total for the contest has been set at 48 points. Troy has won three of the last five meetings with South Alabama and the two are 3-1-1 with the under in those five meetings. Wednesday’s game takes place from Veterans Memorial Stadium in Troy, Alabama and will air live on ESPN2.
South Alabama is 1-4 coming into this week’s game following a 34-16 loss to Louisiana Tech. The Jaguars are 0-1 in the Sun Belt and 4-1 with the under. They have hit the under in four straight games. The Jaguars have struggled on offense this season, posting just 23.6 points and 329 yards per contest. Dallas Davis missed the last game with a shoulder injury. He has thrown for 487 yards and three touchdowns this year. Xavier Johnson is the leading rusher with 345 yards and four touchdowns. Jamarius Way has caught 18 passes for 297 yards and two scores. Defensively, South Alabama is allowing 30.8 points and 421.2 yards per game. They have struggled to stop the pass, allowing 292.2 yards per game.
Troy is 4-1 on the season thanks to a four-game winning streak. Their last win was a surprising upset at LSU, 24-21. The Trojans are 1-0 in conference play and have hit the under in all five games. Defensively, Troy is allowing 18.6 points and 339.8 yards per game. On offense, Troy is putting up 24 points and 431.6 yards per contest. Brandon Silvers has thrown for 1,241 yards and two touchdowns to lead the offense while Jordan Chunn has 490 rushing yards with six touchdowns. Deondre Douglas has 22 catches for 279 yards and one score.
The under has been a regular fixture of Troy football games. The Trojans have hit the under in 10 of their last 12 conference games and four straight against a losing team. The Jaguars have an offense that is going to really struggle to move the ball against this Troy defense. While Troy should have success against the South Alabama defense, I don’t think it will be enough to carry the over.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PREDICTION: SOUTH ALABAMA/TROY UNDER 48