California vs. Oregon Total Pick
The total is being set pretty low for No. 13 Oregon’s matchup with California on Saturday at 8PM ET. Is it being set too low?
Game Snapshot & Odds
349 California vs. 350 Oregon
Saturday, October 5, 2019
8PM ET – Autzen Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Oregon is the clear favorite in this game, as the Ducks are getting odds of -18 points against Cal. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 46 points. The public betting currently has 52 percent going on California as the road underdog. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Cal takes first loss
California was off to a 4-0 start to the season, but suffered a 24-17 loss at home to Arizona State last weekend. The Bears are now 4-1 overall, 1-1 in the Pac-12, 2-3 against the spread and 4-1 with the under.
The Pac-12 is usually known for offense, but Cal is relying on its defense to win this year. The Bears are giving up just 18.6 points and 366.2 yards per game. Offensively, Cal is only averaging 23 points and 346 yards per contest. Chase Garbers has thrown for 952 yards and eight touchdowns this year, but he suffered a shoulder injury last week that has him out indefinitely. Devon Modster has to take over the offense. He has just 15 pass attempts this season. Christopher Brown Jr. is the team’s leading rusher with 389 yards and three touchdowns, while Nikko Remigio has 12 catches for 188 yards and a TD. The defense is being led by linebacker Evan Weaver, who already has 77 tackles this season.
Ducks on a win streak
Oregon suffered a tough 27-21 loss to Auburn to open the season, but the Ducks have won three straight since then. That includes a 21-6 win at Stanford two weeks ago in their last game. The Ducks are 3-1 overall, 1-0 in the Pac-12, 2-2 against the spread and 3-1 with the under.
Surprisingly, Oregon has one of the best defenses in the country thus far. The Ducks are giving up just 10.5 points and 262.8 yards per game. That puts them in the top 10 nationally in both categories. Offensively, Oregon is averaging 458.8 yards and 38.5 points per contest. Justin Herbert has thrown for 1,127 yards and 14 touchdowns with no interceptions to lead the offense this year. He has spread the ball out well, but Jacob Breeland is his leading receiver with 18 catches for 265 yards and five touchdowns. CJ Verdell is the leading rusher with 231 yards and two touchdowns. Jevon Holland is leading the defense with 21 tackles and two interceptions.
College Football Betting Trends
The Bears have hit the under in nine of their last 10 road games and in nine of their last 10 Pac-12 outings.
The Ducks have hit the under in six of their last seven games in October and in five straight after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
These two have hit the over in their last three meetings, but these are two very different teams now. Cal had issues moving the ball with their starting QB. I can only see it getting worse on the road with a backup QB. The Bears have a defense they can rely on, but Oregon is the best offense they will have faces this year. The Ducks have struggled to score on the likes of Auburn and Stanford, so I wouldn’t expect them to light the world on fire this weekend against Cal. The Bears know they have to play well defensively to have a chance to win.
College Football Week 6 Prediction: California/Oregon Under 46