LSU vs. Florida Total Prediction
A pair of surprising teams in the SEC will square off at 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday when the undefeated 5-0 LSU Tigers take on the 4-1 Florida Gators. Will the game live up to its potential as a defensive struggle?
3:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, October 6, 2018
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, Florida
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Tigers are 2.5-point favorites to beat the Gators. The total, meanwhile, sits at 43.5 points. As of this writing, 74% of the public betting tickets wagered on this matchup are on the Tigers.
LSU redshirt junior QB Joe Burrow completed 18-of-25 passes for 292 yards and three touchdowns in Saturday's 45-16 win over Ole Miss. The Tigers put up over 500 total yards for the first time this season, and this was Burrow's best game at LSU. Burrow set new single-game career-highs in passing yards and touchdowns against Ole Miss. In addition to his great passing game, Burrow was able to contribute an additional 96 yards and a score on his nine carries. The Tigers move to 5-0 and are a better team than preseason rankings suggested with Burrow playing well at QB. LSU will play an important road game against the Florida Gators next week.
Florida redshirt sophomore QB Feleipe' Franks completed 22-of-31 passes for 217 yards with an interception in a 13-6 win over Mississippi State on Saturday. Good enough. Franks turned the ball over once, but for the most part, he was on time with the football, and kept the chains moving just enough to take advantage of Mississippi State's putrid offensive effort. Franks doesn't wow, but he clearly has made progress as a quarterback in 2018. He's going to have to be much, much better next week if they have a chance to beat LSU next Saturday.
The under is 7-1 in the Tigers’ last eight road games.
The under is 5-2 in the Gators’ last seven games in October.
I expect this game to be a defensive struggle throughout. Both of these teams are allowing just 15.0 points per game, respectively, and while both offenses have shown signs of life, let’s not get carried away with the performances of Burrow and Franks just yet. From an efficiency standpoint, both LSU and Florida have a ways to go offensively but both defenses remain as consistent as ever. The under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams in Gainesville and is 15-7 in the last 22 meetings overall.
College Football Prediction: LSU/Florida under 43.5