Baylor vs. Kansas State Prediction
Can Baylor continue its unbeaten season when the Bears hit the road to face Kansas State on Saturday at 3:30PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
327 Baylor vs. 328 Kansas State
Saturday, October 5, 2019
3:30PM ET – Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Kansas State is the slim favorite at home, as the Wildcats are getting odds of -1 point against Baylor. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 50.5 points. The public betting currently has 53 percent going on Kansas State as the home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Bears off to 4-0 start
Baylor is off to a surprising 4-0 start to the year thanks to a 23-21 upset of Iowa State last weekend. The Bears are 1-0 in the Big 12, 2-2 against the spread and 2-2 with the over/under total.
The Bears have actually been led by an impressive defense. Baylor is giving up just 16.3 points and 297.5 yards per game. Clay Johnson is leading the defense with 37 tackles and 2.5 sacks. Offensively, Baylor is averaging 40.8 points and 475.5 yards per contest. Quarterback Charlie Brewer is leading the team with 972 yards and 10 touchdowns while Denzel Mims is the leading receiver with 24 catches for 355 yards and five touchdowns. John Lovett is the team’s leading rusher with 238 yards and a score.
K-State falls on the road
Kansas State started the season 3-0, but the Wildcats suffered a 26-13 loss at Oklahoma State last weekend for their first loss. K-State is 3-1 overall, 0-1 in the Big 12, 3-1 against the spread and 2-2 with the over/under total.
The Wildcats are a solid defensive team as well, allowing just 16 points and 323.5 yards per game. Offensively, Kansas State is putting up 36.3 points and 401.8 yards per contest. Quarterback Skylar Thompson has thrown for 604 yards and four touchdowns this year while also rushing for 91 yards and a pair of scores. James Gilbert is the leading rusher with 321 yards and four touchdowns while Dalton Schoen is the leading receiver with 10 catches for 150 yards and two touchdowns.
College Football Betting Trends
The Bears are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games following a win and 4-0 ATS in their last four against a winning team.
The Wildcats are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven home games and 6-1 ATS in their last seven following a loss.
The home team has won the last two meetings, but the road team has covered the spread in three straight encounters. While Baylor is unbeaten, the Bears haven’t been as tested as Kansas State. The Wildcats are coming off games at Mississippi State and Oklahoma State. They did lose last week, but holding an offense like the Cowboys to just 26 points is still an accomplishment. The Bears have struggled to move the ball against good defenses as is, scoring only 21 against Rice and 23 against Iowa State last weekend. I expect the Bears to struggle on offense this week on the road. K-State should be able to grind out possessions at home and cover this small spread against an unproven Baylor squad.
College Football Week 6 Prediction: Kansas State -1