Mississippi State at Auburn Prediction
Will Auburn cover as a sizable favorite tonight when it hosts Mississippi State?
Who: Mississippi State (3-1) at Auburn (3-1)
When: 6:00PM ET, Saturday, September 30
Where: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL
Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Tigers are 8-point home favorites versus the Bulldogs, who opened as 10-point underdogs. As for the total, the number currently sits at 52 after hitting the board at 49.
Mississippi State Betting Trends
The Bulldogs have covered the spread in eight of their last 11 games played in the month of September. They’ve also been a solid play when failing to cover in their previous game. In those last 10 situations, Mississippi State is 7-3 at the betting window.
Auburn Betting Trends
The Tigers have covered in six of their last eight conference games and are 13-6 against the number in their last 19 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous contest. That said, they're 1-3-1 against the spread in their last five games overall and are 1-4 against the number in their last five home games versus a team with a winning road record.
OUR PREDICTION: Normally when you think of Auburn, you think of Gus Malzahn's offensive system. But the Tigers are one of just two teams ranked in the top-10 this year in total defense, scoring defense and passing defense. They've allowed just 45 points through four games this season, which is the fewest they've allowed since 2008. On the other side, the is the second straight week Mississippi State has traveled and the Bulldogs should still be licking their wounds after the beating Georgia handed them a week ago. With Auburn getting back on track offensively last week in Missouri, I like the Tigers to roll tonight.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 5 PICK: AUBURN TIGERS -8