Michigan St. vs. Indiana Pick
Coming off an embarrassing loss at home, can No. 17 Michigan State bounce back this Saturday when it hits the road to face Indiana at 8PM ET?
According to oddsmakers at BetDSI, Michigan State is the slight favorite on the road, as the Spartans are getting odds of -6.5 points against the Hoosiers. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 52 points. Michigan State has won seven straight meetings with Indiana while the two have hit the over in their last eight encounters.
The defending Big Ten champs were stunned at home in a 30-6 loss to Wisconsin last week to fall to 2-1 on the season. The Spartans only gave up 317 yards to the Badgers, but committed four turnovers on offense and couldn’t produce on the ground, being held to 75 rushing yards as a team. On the season, MSU is averaging 23.3 points and 395-7 yards per game while allowing 23.7 points and 314.7 yards per contest. Tyler O’Connor has not been a good follow-up to Connor Cook, as he has thrown for just 655 yards with five touchdowns and five interceptions in three games. LJ Scott has been leading the offense with 264 rushing yards and two scores.
Indiana is coming off a 33-28 loss at home to a Wake Forest team that is pretty poor on offense. The loss dropped the Hoosiers to 2-1 on the season. While Indiana is only giving up 22 points and 351.3 yards per game, those numbers don’t speak to what their true identity is. Offensively, Indiana is a good team, as usual. This season they are averaging 516.7 yards per game, including 334 yards per game through the air. Richard Lagow has thrown for 1,002 yards and seven touchdowns, but also has five interceptions. Devine Redding is the leading rusher with 313 yards on the ground.
Indiana is a team that will find a way to move the ball and score some points. However, they showed last week that they are a team that will give up some points as well. Michigan State was able to do some solid things against Notre Dame, another poor defense, so don’t expect them to struggle like they did against Wisconsin. Turnovers from both teams could also lead to short fields and easy points. These two have hit the over in eight straight meetings, I expect No. 9 on Saturday night.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 5 PICK: MICHIGAN STATE/INDIANA OVER 52