Mississippi St. vs. Auburn Prediction

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Auburn Tigers, 9/28/19 Predictions & Odds

Can No. 7 Auburn find enough offense at home to cover a double-digit spread against Mississippi State when the two meet up tonight at 7PM ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

167 Mississippi State vs. 168 Auburn

Saturday, September 28, 2019

7PM ET – Jordan-Hare Stadium


Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new NCAAF Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

According to the latest oddsmakers, Auburn is favored at home, as the Tigers are getting odds of -11 points against Mississippi State. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 47.5 points. The public betting currently has 69 percent going on Auburn as the home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.

Auburn grinding out wins

Auburn had one of the top wins of last weekend, beating Texas A&M on the road, 28-20. The Tigers are 2-0 in the SEC, 4-0 overall, 4-0 against the spread and 2-2 with the over/under total.

The Tigers have been one of the best defenses in the country this year, allowing just 15.8 points and 316.8 yards per game. Offensively, Auburn is averaging 33.5 points and 423.5 yards per contest. Running back JaTarvious Whitlow leads a strong backfield with 408 rushing yards and four touchdowns. QB Bo Nix has thrown for 645 yards and five scores while also rushing for 117 yards and a touchdown. Eli Stove is the leading receiver with 17 catches for 150 yards and two touchdowns. Jeremiah Dinson is leading the defense with 30 tackles, a sack and an interception.

Bulldogs beat up on Kentucky

Mississippi State is coming off a 28-13 win at home over Kentucky last weekend to move to 3-1 on the season. The Bulldogs are 1-0 in the SEC, 2-2 against the spread and 3-1 with the over.

The Bulldogs have been pretty steady on defense this year, allowing just 21.8 points and 357.3 yards per game. Offensively, Mississippi State is putting up 32 points and 414 yards per game. Tommy Stevens didn’t play against Kentucky due to a shoulder injury, but the QB is expected to go today. He has thrown for 441 yards and five touchdowns this year. The team is being led by running back Kylin Hill, who has rushed for 551 yards and five touchdowns. Osirus Mitchell has caught 17 passes for 244 yards and three scores.

College Football Betting Trends


Auburn has covered the spread in six straight home games and in four of their last five games in September.

Mississippi State

The Bulldogs are 1-5 against the spread in their last six road games and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a cover.


Mississippi State has been a problem for Auburn over recent years, but I like the Tigers this evening. Auburn has been more tested this season with games against Oregon and Texas A&M. The Auburn defense is very solid and should be able to contain this Mississippi State offense. The Bulldogs are hitting the road for the first time, so that should lead to some breakdowns on both sides of the ball. It won’t be easy for Auburn’s offense, but I think they can make enough plays to win by two touchdowns.

College Football Week 5 Prediction: Auburn -11

Related: Mississippi State vs. Auburn Total Prediction

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