Florida St. vs. Louisville Total Pick

Florida State vs. Louisville, 9/26/18 Week 5 Predictions & Preview

Can we expect a lot of fireworks when Louisville and Florida State meet up this Saturday in an ACC clash?

Game Snapshot & Odds

159 Florida State at 160 Louisville

Saturday, September 29, 2018

3:30PM ET – Cardinals Stadium

TV: ESPN2

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new College Football Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, Florida State is favored on the road, as the Seminoles are getting odds of -6.5 points against Louisville. The over/under total for the contest is currently set at 47 points. The public betting for this game currently has 64 percent going on Florida State on the road. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our College Football Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.

FSU finally shows some life

Florida State finally had a comfortable win last week, beating Northern Illinois 37-19. FSU is now 2-2 on the season, 1-3 against the spread and 2-2 with the over/under total. They have flipped the over/under over their last seven games and hit the over against NIU.

The Seminoles are putting up just 20.8 points and 373.5 yards per game on offense this year. Deondre Francois has thrown or 1,083 yards and five touchdowns, but also has five interceptions. On the ground, Cam Akers is the leading rusher with 274 yards and a touchdown. Defensively, FSU is giving up 24.8 points and 376.5 yards per game. Their run defense has been solid, allowing just 97.5 yards per game.

Louisville struggling on offense

Louisville is off to a 2-2 start as well, but not looked terribly good in the process. The wins were over Western Kentucky and Indiana State, but the losses were each by more than three scores to Alabama and Virginia. The Cardinals are 0-4 against the spread while hitting the under in three of four this year. Louisville has hit the under in seven of its last eight.

The Cardinals are averaging just 17 points and 284.3 yards per game this year, which is much lower than usual. The Cards have used two QB’s during these struggles. Jawon Pass has thrown for 454 yards and two touchdowns with five interceptions while Malik Cunningham has 198 yards and one touchdown. Cunningham is the leading rusher on the team with 209 yards and a score. Defensively, Louisville is giving up 25.5 points and 389.8 yards per game. Their run defense is giving up nearly 200 yards per game.

College Football Betting Trends

Florida State

Florida State is 12-3-1 with the under in its last 16 road games and 19-6-1 with the under in their last 26 ACC games.

Louisville

Louisville has hit the under in four straight home games and in four straight following a failed cover.

Prediction:

The total is very low, especially for a FSU vs. Louisville game. While both offenses are struggling, I think each will have their moments in this game against one another. Florida State can move the ball, just needs to avoid turnovers. Louisville should find some success in the air against this FSU defense. These two have hit the over in four straight meetings and scored at least 59 points against each other in each game.

College Football Prediction: Florida State/Louisville Over 47

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