Pittsburgh vs. UNC Prediction

College Football Week 4 Predictions: Pittsburgh vs. North Carolina 9/24/16

Will Pittsburgh keep things close today against North Carolina when the two teams battle at 3:30PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Tar Heels are 7-point home favorites versus the Panthers after opening as a 7.5-point favorite. The total, meanwhile, sits at 67 polints after opening at 68.

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Pittsburgh has dropped five straight games against the spread heading into today's matchup. The Panthers are also 2-7 against the number in their last nine games in September, are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games versus a team with a winning record, and are 1-5 at the betting window in their last six games following an ATS loss.

North Carolina, meanwhile, is 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning record and are 21-6 at the betting window in their last 27 home games versus a team with a winning road record. They're also 4-1 against the number in their last five games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game

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OUR PREDICTION: The Panthers have been a bad bet to cover historically in this matchup, going 1-5 against the spread in their last six games versus the Tar Heels. But where they have the advantage today is in their running game. Thanks to James Conner and a unit that is 19th in the nation in rushing yards per game (239.0), Pittsburgh should be able to hang with UNC, which ranks 106th in rushing yards allowed per contest (226.7). The Panthers have had issues defensively thus far, but their offense will keep them within a touchdown throughout.



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