Mississippi State vs. UGA Prediction

College Football Week 4 Predictions: Mississippi State vs. Georgia 9/23/17

Will Mississippi State pull off the upset tonight when it visits Georgia at 7:00PM ET?

Game Info

Who: Mississippi State (3-0) at Georgia (3-0)

When: 7:00PM ET, Saturday, September 23

Where: Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA

Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, Georiga is now a 3.5-point home favorite to beat Mississippi State after opening as a 3-point favorite. The line jumped all the way up to 5.5 at one point this week, but is trending back down towards the original number. The total, meanwhile, sits at 48 points.  

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Mississippi State Betting Trends

The Bulldogs are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games played in September and 4-1 against the number in their last five games overall. They're also 4-0 against the spread in their last four games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Georgia Betting Trends

The Bulldogs have failed to cover in five of their last seven home games. They're also just 2-9 at the betting window in their last 11 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Finally, they're 3-12-1 against the spread in their last 16 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous contest.

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OUR PREDICTION: I like taking dogs that have a great chance of winning a game outright and Mississippi State fits the bill. Nick Fitzgerald has been a monster this season and is coming off a great performance in the Bulldogs' upset win over LSU last week. Fitzgerald earned SEC Offensive Player of the Week after finishing with 260 yards of total offense and two touchdowns versus LSU. The Bulldogs are avreaging 47.7 points per game, which is tops in the SEC and ninth nationally. Granted, it'll be hard to match that number tonight against Georgia's stout defense, but I'll gladly take Fitzgerald and the points with an experienced MSU team.

 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 4 PREDICTION: MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS +3.5

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